TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 8, 1:30 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming UEFA Europa Conference League game between Connah's Quay Nomads FC and FC Ballkani, scheduled for July 8, 2026 at 1:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Connah's Quay Nomads FC" if Connah's Quay Nomads FC score more goals than FC Ballkani in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if Connah's Quay Nomads FC and FC Ballkani score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "FC Ballkani" if FC Ballkani score more goals than Connah's Quay Nomads FC in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
In the upcoming UEFA Europa Conference League game between Connah's Quay Nomads FC and FC Ballkani, scheduled for July 8, 2026 at 1:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Connah's Quay Nomads FC" if Connah's Quay Nomads FC score more goals than FC Ballkani in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if Connah's Quay Nomads FC and FC Ballkani score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "FC Ballkani" if FC Ballkani score more goals than Connah's Quay Nomads FC in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Prediction market odds and traditional sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets like this one are driven by traders risking real capital on their beliefs about the outcome. This market aggregates the collective conviction of those traders, which can sometimes price outcomes differently than bookmakers do. Comparing the two can reveal where informed traders see value relative to conventional betting lines.
On Polymarket, traders set prices by buying and selling outcome shares in an automated market maker system. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current odds reflect the balance between bullish and bearish positions, with each trade updating the probability estimate in real time. As more capital flows toward one outcome, its price rises and the implied probability adjusts accordingly. This continuous repricing mechanism ensures the market stays responsive to new information and trader conviction throughout the event window.
This market resolves around Jul 8, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result will reflect what actually occurred during the second half of the match between the two teams. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will receive their payout once the match concludes and the result is finalized. Until that point, prices may continue to shift as live match developments influence trader expectations.
Several factors could shift prices in this market before it resolves. Early match developments—such as goals, injuries, or red cards in the first half—often reshape expectations for the second-half outcome. Team momentum, tactical adjustments at halftime, and weather conditions can all influence trader positioning. Breaking news about player availability or unexpected tactical changes may also trigger repricing. As the match approaches and unfolds, each significant event typically prompts traders to reassess their positions, creating volatility in the odds.