TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 24, 2:02 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether Congo DR will win its upcoming African Cup of Nations qualifier against Equatorial Guinea. Currently, Kalshi gives Congo DR a 99.0% probability of winning, with Equatorial Guinea at 1.0%. The market will resolve based on the result of the professional AFCON Qualifiers soccer game originally scheduled for September 24, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time – excluding any extra time or penalties. Keep a close watch on the kickoff of the match itself on September 24, 2026, as that will initiate the timeframe for determining the final result and market resolution.
The event covers three possible outcomes of the Congo DR versus Equatorial Guinea professional AFCON Qualifiers soccer match scheduled for September 24, 2026: a win for Congo DR, a win for Equatorial Guinea, or a tie after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Each outcome has a corresponding market that resolves to Yes if that specific result occurs. If the match ends in a tie after regulation time, the 'Tie' market resolves to Yes. Should the game be cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price following the platform's guidelines. The resolution strictly considers the result within regular time, with no account for extra time or penalty shootout outcomes.
Often, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks typically incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, ensuring a profit margin. This market, however, is driven purely by trader predictions, potentially leading to more accurate probabilities, especially as the event nears and more information becomes available. While sportsbooks may initially set odds based on expert analysis, this market reflects the collective wisdom of participants who are incentivized to make accurate forecasts. It’s common to see discrepancies between the two, with this market sometimes offering more favorable odds.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market's current probability assessment of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate and new information emerges, the prices fluctuate, providing a dynamic representation of expectations. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s depth and trading volume influence how quickly prices respond to new information. Traders aim to profit by accurately predicting the event's outcome and capitalizing on price discrepancies.
This market resolves around Sep 24, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the result of the Congo DR vs Equatorial Guinea match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result declared by the governing sporting body. The market will then determine which outcome corresponds to the actual event result and settle accordingly. Traders holding contracts for the correct outcome will receive a payout, while those holding contracts for incorrect outcomes will forfeit their investment. The resolution process ensures a transparent and verifiable outcome.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. Any news regarding team injuries, changes in coaching staff, or unexpected player suspensions could significantly shift expectations. Pre-match analysis from sports analysts and commentators, as well as public opinion and betting trends, may also impact the market. Additionally, the release of official team lineups closer to the match time could trigger price movements. Unexpected weather conditions or geopolitical events impacting travel could also play a role, causing traders to reassess the probabilities and adjust their positions.