TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 22, 8:31 PM EST
Kalshi
This market predicts the winner of the first half of the Columbus vs New York City MLS soccer match scheduled for July 22, 2026. The first half concludes after 45 minutes plus stoppage time, and whichever team scores more goals during that period wins.
The first half winner is determined by which team scores more goals during the opening 45 minutes plus stoppage time of the Columbus vs New York City professional MLS soccer game originally scheduled for July 22, 2026. If both teams score an equal number of goals or no goals are scored during the half, the result is a tie. Should the game be cancelled or rescheduled to more than two weeks away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they serve different purposes. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and lock in profit margins, while this market aggregates trader beliefs through real-money incentives. Traders here profit by accurately forecasting the outcome, creating pressure toward true probability. Comparing the two can reveal where public opinion differs from professional oddsmakers, though both reflect genuine uncertainty about which team will lead at halftime.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order-book mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing each outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each share reflects the collective forecast of all active traders, with higher prices indicating stronger confidence in that result. As new information emerges or trading volume shifts, prices adjust in real time, allowing you to enter or exit positions at any moment before the market closes.
This market resolves around Jul 23, 2026, once the first half concludes and the result is verifiable from credible public reporting. The outcome is determined by which team holds the lead when the halftime whistle sounds. No further action is required from you after the event; the platform automatically settles all positions based on the confirmed final score at that point in the match.
Team news—injuries, lineup changes, or tactical shifts—can significantly influence trader expectations before kickoff. Recent form, head-to-head records, and home-field advantage all factor into pricing. Weather conditions and referee assignments may also sway sentiment. As the match begins, early goals, red cards, or momentum swings during the opening 45 minutes will drive sharp price movements. Traders continuously reassess probabilities based on live action, so this market remains dynamic until halftime.