TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 22, 9:41 PM EST
Kalshi
Columbus Crew plays New York City FC in an MLS regular season match on July 22, 2026. The outcome is determined by the final score after 90 minutes of play plus stoppage time, with no extra time or penalty shootout determining the result.
Resolution is based on the final result of the Columbus vs New York City professional MLS soccer game originally scheduled for July 22, 2026, evaluated after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (excluding extra time or penalties). The event encompasses three mutually exclusive outcomes: Columbus victory, New York City victory, or a tie. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than two weeks away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and manage risk, while prediction markets aggregate the beliefs of traders who have real money at stake. This market may show materially different implied probabilities than traditional sportsbooks, especially as new information emerges or as one side attracts heavier trading volume. Comparing the two can reveal where the broader betting public disagrees with prediction market participants.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts tied to each outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each contract reflects the collective expectation of what will happen, with contracts trading between 0 and 100 cents. As new trades execute, the price updates instantly, and the mid-market price serves as the best estimate of the implied probability at that moment. Wider spreads typically indicate lower volume or higher uncertainty.
This market resolves around Jul 23, 2026, once the event concludes and the result is verifiable from credible public sources. The outcome will be confirmed based on the final score or result reported by authoritative sports media and official league records. Until that point, traders can continue to buy and sell contracts as new developments or analysis shift their expectations. After resolution, all positions settle according to the confirmed outcome.
Key catalysts include team roster updates, injury announcements, recent form and head-to-head records, and any public statements from coaches or players. Weather conditions on match day, venue factors, and rest schedules can also influence trader positioning. As the event date approaches, media coverage and expert analysis often drive renewed trading activity. Live developments during the match itself—such as early goals or tactical shifts—will create sharp price movements in real time as traders reassess probabilities.