TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$87,997,338
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,395,155,069
395,664
Markets across
30,076
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,626
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
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VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 25, 8:25 PM EST
Kalshi
This market covers the combined goal output from Columbus and Cincinnati during the first half of their MLS match on July 25, 2026. Bettors can wager on whether the first-half total will exceed various thresholds.
The event covers the Columbus vs Cincinnati professional MLS soccer game originally scheduled for July 25, 2026. Resolution is based on the combined goals scored by both teams during the first half only. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over two weeks away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. Only goals scored during the first half count towards resolution.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they serve different purposes and audiences. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and manage risk, while prediction markets reflect trader consensus on true probability. On Kalshi, odds emerge from open trading rather than a bookmaker's margin, potentially offering sharper pricing for informed bettors. However, sportsbooks may move faster on breaking news or injury reports, and their liquidity can exceed prediction markets. Comparing this market's odds to major sportsbook lines can reveal value opportunities, though both reflect genuine uncertainty about the game's first half total.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through continuous order-book trading, where buyers and sellers submit bids and asks that determine the real-time odds. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders profit by predicting whether the first half total will land above or below the strike level, and prices adjust instantly as new orders flow in. The platform uses a binary outcome structure, meaning each contract resolves to either $0 or $1 based on the verified result. Kalshi's regulatory framework and transparent matching engine ensure all participants see the same price feed and execution rules.
This market resolves around Jul 26, 2026, once the Columbus versus Cincinnati game concludes and the first half total is verified against credible public sources. The outcome is determined by the official combined score recorded by the league at halftime. No further adjustments occur after the half ends and the final tally is confirmed. Traders holding positions at resolution will see their contracts settle automatically based on whether the actual total matched the market's strike price.
Key catalysts include injury announcements to star players, weather updates affecting passing or kicking conditions, and recent offensive or defensive performance trends. Line movement from major sportsbooks often precedes prediction market shifts, as professional bettors arbitrage differences. Team news—such as a starting quarterback change or defensive coordinator adjustment—can significantly alter scoring expectations. Public betting patterns and social media sentiment may also influence trader positioning. Close to game time, final roster confirmations and pregame commentary typically drive the largest price swings as uncertainty resolves.