TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 27, 7:47 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Nicolas Oliveira and Li Tu in the Columbus, USA, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 27, 2026 at 1:30PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Nicolas Oliveira' if Nicolas Oliveira advances against Li Tu. This market will resolve to 'Li Tu' if Li Tu advances against Nicolas Oliveira. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Nicolas Oliveira and Li Tu in the Columbus, USA, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 27, 2026 at 1:30PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Nicolas Oliveira' if Nicolas Oliveira advances against Li Tu. This market will resolve to 'Li Tu' if Li Tu advances against Nicolas Oliveira. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more shares are bought for a particular outcome, its price increases, and vice versa. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current price reflects the collective assessment of all traders participating in this market, creating a dynamic and real-time forecast.
This market resolves around Oct 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Nicolas Oliveira vs Li Tu match as declared by the governing sporting body. The platform will verify the result against established sources to determine the winning outcome and distribute funds to those who correctly predicted the result. Traders should monitor official sources for updates as the resolution date approaches.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 4, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in match conditions, or significant shifts in public perception could lead to price movements. Unexpected announcements about team strategies or player form could also impact trading activity. Furthermore, large trades by influential market participants could temporarily shift the price, though the market typically self-corrects as more information becomes available and more traders participate.