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Columbus Crew vs. New York City FC - First Team to Score
polymarket
kalshi

Who will score first: Columbus Crew or New York City FC?

Volume:
$3,588

New York City FC

all

2 markets

Polymarket

Kalshi

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 23, 2026

Closed: Jul 22, 10:09 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

New York City FC

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$766
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

New York City FC

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$546
N/A
N/A
$493
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Neither

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$945
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Columbus Crew

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$823
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Columbus Crew

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$358
N/A
N/A
$353
Settled
No
kalshi

No Goal

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$149
N/A
N/A
$148
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event group covers prediction markets on which team scores first in the MLS match between Columbus Crew and New York City FC scheduled for July 22, 2026. The markets track the first goal scored during the match, with outcomes for Columbus Crew, New York City FC, or neither team scoring.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Polymarket limits resolution to 90 minutes plus stoppage time, while Kalshi includes the entire match including extra time. This creates a scope divergence that affects outcomes only if the match reaches extra time.Hero tip: Monitor whether the match reaches extra time. If it does and a goal is scored in extra time, Polymarket and Kalshi will resolve to different outcomes. Polymarket will resolve based on the 90-minute result, while Kalshi will include the extra-time goal. For matches that end within 90 minutes plus stoppage, both platforms resolve identically.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: First goal resolution window is limited to 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded from consideration. If neither team scores in this window, market resolves to Neither. Postponed matches remain open; canceled matches with no makeup resolve to Neither.
  • Kalshi: First goal resolution window includes the entire game: regulation, stoppage time, and any extra time periods. The market structure implies three separate Yes/No markets (Columbus first, NYC first, neither), each resolving Yes if that outcome occurs during the entire match.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

In the upcoming match between Columbus Crew and New York City FC, scheduled for July 22, 2026 at 7:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Columbus Crew" if Columbus Crew are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "New York City FC" if New York City FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.

Kalshi

The market resolves based on which team records the first goal during the entire match (regulation, stoppage time, and any extra time periods) of the Columbus Crew vs New York City FC professional MLS soccer game originally scheduled for July 22, 2026. If the first goal is an own goal, resolution is based on the team officially awarded the goal. The market encompasses all three possible outcomes: Columbus Crew scoring first, New York City FC scoring first, or no goal being scored during the match.

Frequently asked questions

The first goal scorer market aggregates predictions across Polymarket and Kalshi on which team will score first in the Columbus Crew versus New York City FC match. This market lets traders speculate on the opening goal of the game, with outcomes typically including options for each team or a neither-team scenario. Cross-platform tracking reveals how consensus shifts as match day approaches, showing real-time conviction among prediction market participants. Volume and price movements across both venues reflect evolving expectations based on team form, injuries, and tactical adjustments.

Prediction markets and traditional sportsbooks price outcomes differently because they operate under distinct mechanisms. Sportsbooks set odds to balance liability and extract margin, while prediction markets aggregate trader beliefs through continuous pricing. This market often reflects sharper, more dynamic odds because traders can enter and exit positions freely. Comparing this market's implied probability to major sportsbook lines can reveal value opportunities, though prediction market prices may lag sportsbook moves during breaking news or injury announcements.

Team news—including injuries to key forwards, midfielders, or defensive players—can shift odds significantly. Starting lineups announced before kickoff often trigger sharp repricing as traders adjust for tactical formations and personnel changes. Recent form, head-to-head records, and home-field advantage also influence positioning. Weather conditions, referee assignments, and late-breaking tactical adjustments can move prices in the final hours. Live match momentum and early possession patterns may also drive trader sentiment as the game unfolds.