TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$134,145,987

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,441,166,947

406,422

Markets across

30,383

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,688

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Columbus Crew vs. FC Cincinnati
polymarket
predict
kalshi

What is the result of Columbus Crew vs. FC Cincinnati?

Volume:
$1,781,041

Columbus Crew

all

3 markets

Polymarket

Kalshi

Predict

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 26, 2026

Closed: Jul 25, 10:08 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Columbus Crew

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$569,646
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Columbus

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$411,401
N/A
N/A
$241,277
Settled
Yes
predict

Columbus Crew

View
99%
Yes 99¢No 1¢
—
$5,487
$28,963
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
predict

FC Cincinnati

View
1%
Yes 1¢No 99¢
—
$641
$7,894
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Cincinnati

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$455,852
N/A
N/A
$284,111
Settled
No
polymarket

FC Cincinnati

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$85,358
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
predict

Draw

View
1%
Yes 1¢No 99¢
—
$2,419
$1,944
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Tie

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$189,466
N/A
N/A
$124,097
Settled
No
polymarket

Draw (Columbus Crew vs. FC Cincinnati)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$30,518
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 9

Intro

This market tracks the outcome of the professional MLS soccer match between Columbus Crew and FC Cincinnati. The aggregated consensus probability for a Columbus Crew win is 82.0%, with a draw as the second outcome at 18.0%. Data is aggregated from Polymarket, Predict, and Kalshi, and resolved using official MLS match statistics via mlssoccer.com. Watch for the match result on July 25, 2026, which will determine the market outcome.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

All three platforms (Polymarket, Kalshi, Predict) apply identical resolution logic: match outcome determined by official MLS result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, with consistent treatment of postponements (markets remain open) and cancellations without makeup (Columbus/Cincinnati resolve No, Draw resolves Yes).Primary resolution logic: Official MLS match statistics via mlssoccer.com and governing body records; secondary source is consensus of credible reporting if official statistics unavailable within 2 hours of match conclusion.

Core resolution logic:

  • Match outcome is determined by the result after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time only; extra time and penalties are excluded.
  • Three mutually exclusive outcomes: Columbus Crew win (Yes on Crew market, No on Cincinnati/Draw markets), FC Cincinnati win (Yes on Cincinnati market, No on Crew/Draw markets), or Draw (Yes on Draw market, No on Crew/Cincinnati markets).
  • If match is postponed, all related markets remain open until the match is completed.
  • If match is canceled entirely with no makeup game scheduled, Crew and Cincinnati markets resolve to No, and Draw market resolves to Yes.
  • Official final result as declared by MLS/governing body is binding; revisions to scores made after market resolution are not applied retroactively.

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Postponement: If the match is postponed, all markets remain open and unresolved until the match is completed on a new date. Resolution then follows standard outcome rules.
  • Cancellation without Makeup: If the match is canceled entirely with no makeup game scheduled, Columbus Crew and FC Cincinnati win markets resolve to No; Draw market resolves to Yes.
  • Official Statistics Delay: If MLS has not published official final statistics within 2 hours of match conclusion, resolution may use consensus of credible reporting sources until official statistics are available.
  • Scope of Play: Resolution is based only on the result within 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shootouts (if applicable in any format) are excluded.
Timing: Resolution occurs after the match concludes and official MLS statistics are published or confirmed via credible reporting consensus (within 2 hours of match end). Markets settle on the official final result as declared by MLS/governing body.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This event is for the upcoming MLS game, scheduled for Saturday, July 25, 2026 between Columbus Crew and FC Cincinnati.

Kalshi

Resolution is based on the final result of the Columbus vs Cincinnati MLS match after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties. Each outcome—Columbus win, Cincinnati win, or tie—has a corresponding market that resolves to Yes if that result occurs. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than two weeks away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules.

Predict

This event is for the upcoming MLS game, scheduled for Saturday, July 25, 2026 between Columbus Crew and FC Cincinnati.

Frequently asked questions

This dashboard aggregates prediction market prices for the Crew vs. Cincinnati MLS matchup across Polymarket and Kalshi, allowing traders to monitor real-time consensus on the match outcome. Both venues host the same core question but may price it differently based on their user bases, trading activity, and market mechanics. The aggregated view helps bettors spot pricing divergence and identify arbitrage opportunities. You can track total volume across both platforms to gauge overall market interest and confidence in the outcome.

Prediction markets and sportsbooks price outcomes using different mechanisms. Sportsbooks set odds to balance their book and manage risk, while prediction markets derive prices from live trader supply and demand. Prediction market odds often reflect crowd sentiment and can diverge from traditional sportsbook lines, especially as new information emerges closer to kickoff. Neither is inherently more accurate, but comparing both can reveal where smart money is positioning itself and highlight potential value mismatches.

Polymarket and Kalshi may price this market differently for several reasons. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform attracts distinct trader demographics with different risk appetites and information sets. Trading volume, fee structures, and user interface design also influence how quickly prices adjust to new data. Additionally, the exact wording of each platform's outcome definition can create subtle differences in how traders interpret the same event. These gaps typically narrow as the match approaches and more traders arbitrage across venues.

Key catalysts include team roster updates, injury reports, and recent form heading into the match. Weather conditions on match day can also shift trader sentiment, particularly if rain or extreme heat affects playing style. Any official league announcements regarding venue changes or scheduling adjustments would trigger repricing. Social media sentiment, expert analysis, and betting syndicate activity often precede larger price swings. Monitor both teams' social channels and MLS official communications for breaking news that could reshape market expectations before kickoff.