TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 26, 2:41 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks the outcome of a specific map in an upcoming professional League of Legends match between two teams. The result depends solely on which team secures victory on the designated map during the scheduled competition. Outcomes are determined by official tournament results, with specific guidelines for handling postponements or cancellations.
The market resolves based on the result of Map 3 in the LIT 2026 League of Legends match between Colossal Gaming and Aeterna Esports, scheduled for August 26, 2026, at 12:00 PM EDT. If the match or specific map is postponed beyond 48 hours of its scheduled start time, cancelled, or forfeited before any play begins, the market resolves to the fair market price. If a map begins and is later forfeited, the market resolves according to the official result declared by the tournament organizer or governing body. Kalshi explicitly states it is not affiliated with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds on this market often differ from traditional sportsbook lines due to decentralized trader activity and unique betting dynamics on Kalshi. While sportsbooks may set their lines based on analytical models or public betting patterns, this market price is driven purely by participant bets, which can lead to sharper or more volatile shifts depending on real-time match developments and trader insights.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, traders collectively set the price through buying and selling contracts that represent each possible outcome. The current probability reflects the balance of buy and sell orders, with volume of $2,226 indicating liquidity. As new information emerges — such as player injuries or strategy shifts — the market adjusts instantly.
This market resolves around Aug 26, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the match result is verifiable from credible public reporting. The winner of map three is determined by the official game records, and Kalshi will finalize the market based on that authoritative source.
Key signals that could shift this market include practice match results, player health updates, patch notes impacting gameplay balance, and in-game performance during the first two maps. Any indication of strategic advantage or disadvantage for either team tends to drive rapid price changes as traders reassess probabilities ahead of map three.