TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 27, 4:44 PM EST
Kalshi
The event refers to a professional baseball game between two teams originally scheduled for August 27, 2026, at 1:05 PM EDT. The focus is on whether the game extends beyond its standard duration due to the need for additional periods of play. This determination hinges on whether the game's conclusion requires more time than initially allocated.
If at least 1 extra inning is played in the Colorado vs Washington professional baseball game originally scheduled for Aug 27, 2026 at 1:05 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
Compared to traditional sportsbook odds, prediction market odds for this market often reflect a more nuanced outlook, incorporating a wider range of trader insights and real-time data. While sportsbooks may set their lines based on broader public betting trends and historical data, prediction markets allow participants to react instantly to new information. This can result in tighter spreads and more accurate probability estimates, especially as the game approaches. Traders should watch both sources for shifts in sentiment and potential value opportunities.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, traders set the price through a continuous order book where buyers and sellers post their bids and offers. The current top chance displayed reflects the best available bid or ask, and volume of $756 shows overall interest. Prices adjust dynamically based on new bets and market news, allowing for rapid shifts in perception. This decentralized pricing model means the market can react quickly to any developments affecting the game’s length.
This market resolves around Aug 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result is determined by whether the game goes into extra innings — a straightforward fact that becomes official once the game concludes. No complex criteria or judgments are needed; the market settles based on the publicly recorded length of the match.
Key signals that could shift this market include injury updates to star players, weather delays that might affect game length, and strategic decisions by coaches regarding pitch counts or batting orders. Any news suggesting a higher likelihood of a close game or extended play can cause rapid price adjustments. Traders will also watch pre-game betting trends and any last-minute lineup changes that could influence the game’s duration.