TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 11, 12:44 AM EST
Kalshi
This baseball event focuses on the outcome of the first 7 innings of the Colorado vs San Francisco game on July 10, 2026. Bettors predict whether Colorado will lead, San Francisco will lead, or the teams will be tied after 7 complete innings.
The Colorado vs San Francisco game scheduled for July 10, 2026 at 10:15 PM EDT will be evaluated based on the score at the end of the first 7 innings. If Colorado leads after 7 innings, the Colorado strike resolves to Yes and others to No. If San Francisco leads after 7 innings, the San Francisco strike resolves to Yes and others to No. If the score is tied after 7 innings, the Tie strike resolves to Yes and all team strikes resolve to No. If the game is postponed or delayed, the market remains open and closes after the rescheduled game finishes within two days.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different pricing mechanisms. Sportsbooks set odds to balance their book and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets like this one are priced by traders themselves—meaning odds shift based on real-time supply and demand. Prediction markets can sometimes offer sharper, more efficient pricing because traders have direct financial incentive to correct mispricings. However, sportsbooks may occasionally offer better value on specific outcomes depending on their risk management and the volume they're seeing. Comparing both sources before trading can help you identify edges.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order-book mechanism where traders submit bids and asks for each outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Prices move in real time as new orders flow in and existing positions are filled, creating a dynamic market that reflects the collective forecast of active traders. The tighter the spread between bid and ask, the more liquid the market; wider spreads indicate lower activity. You can place limit or market orders to enter or exit positions, and your execution price depends on the current book depth and order flow at the moment you trade.
This market resolves around Jul 11, 2026, once the Colorado versus San Francisco game concludes and the first seven innings result is verified against credible public sources. The outcome is determined by the final score and result recorded through the official game record. Until that point, prices will fluctuate as new information emerges—weather updates, injury reports, lineup changes, or live game action—all of which can shift trader expectations about how the first seven innings will play out.
Several catalysts can shift prices in this market before resolution. Injury announcements or roster changes to either team's lineup or pitching staff will likely trigger sharp moves, as will weather forecasts that affect playing conditions. Live game action—early runs, pitching changes, or momentum swings during the first seven innings—will drive continuous repricing as traders update their forecasts in real time. Pregame news such as lineup confirmations, bullpen availability, or recent team performance trends can also influence positions. Monitor sports news and team updates closely, as even minor developments can move the odds meaningfully.