TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 16, 11:39 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the total number of goals scored by both Colorado and Saint Louis in their US Open Cup match. The outcome depends on whether the combined goals exceed specific thresholds after 90 minutes of regulation time, excluding any extra time or penalty kicks.
The event resolves based on whether the total goals scored by both teams in the Colorado vs Saint Louis US Open Cup game scheduled for September 16, 2026, exceed specified thresholds after 90 minutes of regulation time plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty kicks are excluded from the goal count. Markets are structured around thresholds of 0.5, 1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5, and 5.5 goals, each resolving to 'Yes' if the actual total exceeds the respective threshold. The rules clarify that Kalshi is not affiliated with the governing league, and all trademarks belong to their respective owners.
Generally, prediction market odds tend to reflect a more accurate forecast of event outcomes than traditional sportsbook odds. This is because prediction markets aggregate the knowledge and insights of a diverse group of participants, incentivized to make correct predictions. Sportsbooks, while employing skilled oddsmakers, are often influenced by factors like public betting patterns and the need to balance their books. While both aim to predict the outcome, this market benefits from the 'wisdom of the crowd,' potentially offering a more refined probability assessment than what you might find at a sportsbook. It's a different way to gauge expectations.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, where traders buy and sell contracts representing different potential goal totals. The price of each contract reflects the market’s collective probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy contracts for a specific outcome, its price increases, indicating a higher perceived likelihood. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market dynamically adjusts based on supply and demand, meaning prices change constantly as new information and opinions enter the market. This creates a real-time assessment of the event’s potential results, driven entirely by participant activity.
This market resolves around Sep 17, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the total goals scored in regulation time during the Colorado vs Saint Louis match will be used to determine the winning contract. The resolution will be based on official game statistics, ensuring an objective and transparent outcome. Traders will be able to see the final result reflected in the market, and winning contracts will be paid out accordingly. It’s important to monitor the event closely as the resolution date approaches.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market before resolution. Any news regarding player injuries or suspensions for either the Colorado or Saint Louis teams would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to affect the style of play, could also shift expectations. Furthermore, updates on team formations or tactical approaches, revealed through pre-match press conferences, might influence trading activity. Even general shifts in public sentiment, reflected in social media or sports news, can contribute to price fluctuations in this market.