TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 16, 11:39 PM EST
Kalshi
This event involves a soccer match between two teams in a tournament, where the outcome depends on whether both teams score during the regular time of the game. The focus is on the performance of the teams within the standard playing duration, excluding any additional periods. The result is determined solely by the scoring activity of the teams during this set timeframe.
If Colorado and Saint Louis both score a goal in the Colorado vs Saint Louis US Open Cup match originally scheduled for Sep 16, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially differing from sportsbook odds which are set by professional oddsmakers. Sportsbooks may incorporate factors like public betting percentages and risk management into their lines, while this market is driven purely by individuals forecasting the likelihood of both teams scoring. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or when new information emerges, as the crowd’s assessment evolves independently of traditional sportsbooks.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell contracts representing the probability of 'Yes' (both teams to score) or 'No' (one or both teams fail to score). The price of a contract directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the price fluctuates based on supply and demand, ultimately reflecting the collective prediction of the market participants regarding the game's outcome. The current price indicates what traders are willing to pay for exposure to each possible result.
This market resolves around Sep 17, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will depend on whether both Colorado and Saint Louis score at least one goal each during regulation time. Any goals scored during extra time or penalty shootouts will not be considered. The final result will be determined based on official game statistics and will be publicly available following the conclusion of the match.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Late-breaking news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Colorado or Saint Louis would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to impact the style of play, could also affect trading activity. Additionally, any pre-game analysis from reputable sources suggesting a shift in the expected goal-scoring potential of either team could drive price fluctuations in this market.