TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 19, 9:04 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets track how many points each team scores in an upcoming college football game. Each market has a different threshold for the number of points a team must exceed for the market to settle positively. The outcomes depend solely on the official game result, with specific rules for postponements.
The markets resolve based on whether Northwestern or Colorado exceeds specified point thresholds in their college football game scheduled for September 19, 2026. For each market, if the designated team scores more than the stated point total, the market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. All markets share consistent secondary rules: if the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, trading remains open and resolves based on the final result. If the game does not start within 48 hours of the scheduled time, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants regardless of the specific point threshold market. This structure applies uniformly across all numbered primary rules, maintaining consistency in resolution methodology for variations in scoring thresholds.
Generally, prediction market odds tend to reflect a wisdom-of-the-crowd perspective, often proving more accurate than initial sportsbook lines. Sportsbooks set their odds to attract balanced betting action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market represents the aggregate forecast of informed traders. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information access, biases, or simply the dynamics of each venue. If significant differences appear, it may suggest that prediction market participants possess insights not yet fully priced into sportsbook odds, or vice versa.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing different team total outcomes, and the price of each contract reflects the perceived probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy a particular outcome, its price increases, indicating a higher probability. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s price movements are driven by supply and demand, with traders adjusting their positions based on new information and their own analysis of the game. The current price reflects the collective intelligence of those participating.
This market resolves around Sep 20, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the actual combined total points scored by both the Colorado Buffaloes and the Northwestern Wildcats during the game. Official game statistics will be used to determine the final team totals, and this information will be used to determine which contracts payout. The market will settle to 100 for the outcome that matches the actual combined score.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Colorado or Northwestern would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest conditions favorable to one team's style of play, could also impact trading activity. Late-breaking news about coaching strategies or team morale could also play a role. Furthermore, large volume trades from informed participants could shift the market price, reflecting new information or a change in sentiment.