TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
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OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 19, 10:54 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets focus on predicting the margin of victory in the fourth quarter of a college football game between Colorado and Northwestern. Each outcome represents a different point differential threshold that must be exceeded for the market to settle positively.
The markets resolve based on the point differential in the fourth quarter (excluding overtime) of the Colorado vs Northwestern college football game scheduled for September 19, 2026. Each market corresponds to a specific threshold for either team to exceed in points scored during that quarter. If Northwestern or Colorado wins the fourth quarter by more than the specified margin, the respective market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. All markets consider only points scored in the fourth quarter, disregarding any overtime periods. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of the original scheduled start time, the markets remain open and resolve based on the final official result. Should the game fail to start within the 48-hour window, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set initial lines based on their own analysis, while this market’s pricing is driven by traders who buy and sell contracts based on their individual beliefs about the likely outcome. It’s common to see this market move independently of sportsbook lines, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts. Comparing these odds can offer a broader perspective on the potential result of the game.
This market resolves around Sep 20, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final point spread of the fourth quarter is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official game statistics reported by a recognized sports data provider. The market will determine which side of the spread – Colorado or Northwestern – ultimately covers the designated point difference in the fourth quarter. Traders holding contracts on the correct side will receive a payout of 100 cents per contract.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before it resolves. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in coaching strategy, or even weather conditions could shift trader sentiment. Significant shifts in public opinion, as reflected in polls or expert analyses, can also impact the market. Unexpected performance during the game itself, such as a key turnover or a dominant offensive drive, would likely cause rapid price adjustments. Monitoring these signals will be crucial for anyone looking to trade in this market.