TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 19, 10:09 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks how decisively either team wins the third quarter of an upcoming college football game. It focuses solely on the point difference during that specific quarter, ignoring the overall game outcome or other quarters.
All markets resolve based exclusively on the point differential between Colorado and Northwestern during the third quarter of their scheduled game on September 19, 2026. A 'Yes' outcome occurs if the winning team exceeds the specified point margin for that market during the third quarter alone. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, the markets remain active and resolve according to the actual third-quarter result. If the game does not start within 48 hours of its scheduled time, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants regardless of the specific point thresholds defined in individual markets.
Generally, prediction market odds tend to reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often proving more accurate than traditional sportsbook odds, especially as the event approaches. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to trade based on their own information and analysis. However, initial sportsbook lines can sometimes offer value, and discrepancies can emerge due to differing levels of information or risk appetite between sportsbook customers and Kalshi traders. It’s always wise to compare both before making a decision.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different point spreads for the Colorado-Northwestern 3rd quarter. The price of each contract reflects the market’s collective belief about the probability of that spread occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust dynamically, providing a real-time assessment of expectations. The current top market on Kalshi is for Northwestern wins 3Q by over 7.5 points.
This market resolves around Sep 20, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final point spread of the third quarter of the Colorado versus Northwestern football game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official game statistics as reported by a recognized sports data provider. Traders holding contracts on the correct spread will receive a payout of $100 per contract, while those holding contracts on incorrect spreads will forfeit their investment. This market’s outcome is independent of any pre-game polling or analysis.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Colorado or Northwestern teams would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest adverse conditions, could also impact expectations. Furthermore, updates on team strategies or coaching decisions, as well as public sentiment shifts reflected in betting trends, could all contribute to price fluctuations. Even in-game performance during the first and second quarters could influence trading activity as traders adjust their positions.