TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 19, 8:18 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the performance of two college football teams in the first quarter of their upcoming game, focusing on the margin of victory for either side. It allows participants to speculate on whether one team will dominate early in the match by a specific point differential.
The event evaluates various point differentials by which either Colorado or Northwestern could win the first quarter of their college football game scheduled for September 19, 2026. Each market corresponds to a specific threshold that must be exceeded for a 'Yes' resolution, ranging from narrow margins like over 2.5 points to larger gaps such as over 10.5 points. All markets exclusively consider points scored during the first quarter. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, it remains active and resolves based on the actual result. If the game does not start within this window, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants regardless of the specific outcome thresholds.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can sometimes differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set their lines based on their own models and risk management, while this market is driven by the collective predictions of traders. If a significant discrepancy exists, it may indicate that the market believes a sportsbook has mispriced the probability of a particular outcome. However, it’s important to remember that both represent probabilities, and neither is guaranteed to be correct.
This market resolves around Sep 20, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the actual point spread achieved in the first quarter of the Colorado versus Northwestern football game will be used to determine which contracts pay out. The final result will be based on official game statistics and verified against credible public sources. Traders holding contracts on the correct spread will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on incorrect spreads will not.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Colorado or Northwestern teams would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest adverse conditions, could also impact the spread. Additionally, late-breaking news about team strategy or coaching decisions could shift trader sentiment. Public perception, as reflected in polls or expert analysis, could also contribute to price fluctuations in this market.