TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 8, 7:29 PM EST
Kalshi
This result is determined by whether Colorado or New York Y puts a run on the board in the first inning of their scheduled contest. Early scoring can influence momentum and strategy for the rest of the game. The resolution is based solely on the actions of players in the first inning.
If either team scores a run in the first inning of the Colorado vs New York Y professional baseball game originally scheduled for Sep 8, 2026 at 7:05 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to trade based on their own insights. If a significant discrepancy emerges between this market and sportsbook odds, it could indicate differing opinions on the likely outcome or potentially highlight an arbitrage opportunity for informed traders. It's important to remember that both represent probabilities, but are derived through different mechanisms.
This market resolves around Sep 9, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the resolution will be based on whether a run was scored in the first inning of the game between Colorado and New York. The official game results will serve as the basis for determining the winning contracts. Traders will be able to see the final result and the payout of their contracts shortly after the game concludes and the outcome is officially verified.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding starting pitchers, key player injuries, or weather conditions could significantly shift expectations. Changes in public sentiment, reflected in betting action, will also impact the price. Unexpected announcements about team lineups or pre-game analysis from baseball experts could also cause movement. Ultimately, any information that alters the perceived probability of a run being scored in the first inning has the potential to move this market before it resolves.