TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 10, 10:19 PM EST
Kalshi
An evening baseball contest between two professional teams features the possibility of extended play. The game's duration may stretch beyond its regulation time, depending on how the match unfolds. This extension would occur if the scores remain tied after the initial periods, leading to additional rounds of play.
If at least 1 extra inning is played in the Colorado vs New York Y professional baseball game originally scheduled for Sep 10, 2026 at 7:05 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook has mispriced an outcome, they can express that view through their trades, causing the prediction market odds to diverge. It’s common to see differences, especially before significant events or breaking news impacts perceptions of the likely result.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of a contract reflects the market's collective probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy contracts for a particular outcome, its price increases, and the implied probability rises. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust expectations as the event approaches. The current price reflects the aggregated views of all participants trading in this market.
This market resolves around Sep 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will depend on whether the Colorado vs New York game goes to extra innings, as determined by official game results. The final result will be sourced from official sources and used to determine which contracts payout. Traders will be able to see the resolution details on Kalshi once the event has concluded and the outcome has been verified.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Colorado or New York team could significantly shift expectations. Weather forecasts, particularly if they predict conditions favorable to one team's playing style, could also impact trading activity. Unexpected lineup changes or even pre-game reports about team morale could all contribute to shifts in the market. Ultimately, any information that alters perceptions of the teams’ chances of winning, or of the game going to extra innings, has the potential to move this market.