TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 8, 9:54 PM EST
Kalshi
A professional baseball contest between Colorado and New York Y is set for September 8, 2026. The event will resolve positively if scoring remains level through the entire nine-inning regulation period, forcing the game into additional frames to determine a winner.
If at least 1 extra inning is played in the Colorado vs New York Y professional baseball game originally scheduled for Sep 8, 2026 at 7:05 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and risk management, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individuals. If a significant discrepancy exists between the implied probability on Kalshi and sportsbook lines, it could indicate that the market perceives information differently than sportsbooks, or that one venue has identified a mispricing opportunity. Keep in mind that both represent probabilities of the same event, but are derived through different mechanisms.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing the probability of the game going to extra innings. The price of a contract directly reflects the market's assessment of that outcome's likelihood. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are incentivized to provide accurate predictions, as they profit if their beliefs are correct and lose if they are wrong. This dynamic creates a constantly adjusting price that attempts to represent the true probability of the event, based on the collective intelligence of the participants.
This market resolves around Sep 9, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the result of the Colorado vs New York game is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on whether the game extends beyond the standard nine innings. The official game result, as reported by a trusted sports data source, will determine the winning outcome in this market. Traders who correctly predicted whether the game would go to extra innings will receive a payout based on the final market price at resolution.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding potential starting pitchers, weather conditions impacting the game, or significant injuries to key players could shift trader sentiment. Late-breaking news about team strategies or changes in player lineups could also cause movement. Furthermore, large volume trades on Kalshi itself can create price fluctuations, as can any shifts in public perception of the teams' relative strengths. Monitoring these signals can provide insights into potential market movements before the game concludes.