TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,590,312
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,439,516,703
404,175
Markets across
30,277
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,685
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 27, 10:19 PM EST
Kalshi
This baseball event covers the Colorado Rockies vs Minnesota Twins game scheduled for June 27, 2026. Bettors predict whether the combined run total scored by both teams will exceed various thresholds throughout the game.
The Colorado vs Minnesota game resolves based on the total combined runs scored by both teams. Each market within this event corresponds to a specific run threshold. A market resolves to Yes if the combined final score exceeds that threshold's value. For example, the Over 3.5 market resolves Yes if the teams score 4 or more runs combined, the Over 4.5 market resolves Yes if they score 5 or more combined, and so forth through the Over 13.5 threshold. The game is originally scheduled for June 27, 2026 at 7:10 PM EDT. Resolution is based on the official final score of the completed game.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and protect their margins, while prediction markets like this one are driven by trader belief and real-money commitment. Sportsbooks may move lines faster in response to sharp money, whereas prediction markets aggregate dispersed information over time. Comparing this market's odds to major sportsbook lines can reveal whether traders are pricing the total runs differently than professional oddsmakers, potentially signaling an edge or consensus shift.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through an order-book mechanism where traders buy and sell contracts representing outcomes. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Each contract reflects the market's collective forecast of total runs, with prices ranging from near zero to near one dollar depending on perceived probability. Traders submit limit and market orders, and the platform matches them in real time. The resulting mid-market price serves as the consensus estimate, updated with every trade to reflect new information or shifting sentiment about the game.
This market resolves around Jun 28, 2026, once the Colorado-Minnesota game concludes and the final run total is verifiable from credible public sources. The outcome is determined by the combined runs scored by both teams during the game. Resolution occurs after official box scores are published and confirmed, ensuring accuracy. Traders should monitor the game and any official updates to understand when the market will settle and how the final tally will be recorded.
Key catalysts for this market include lineup announcements, starting pitcher confirmations, and recent team performance trends. Injuries to star players or changes in batting order can shift expectations for offensive output. Weather conditions on game day—wind speed and direction at the stadium—often influence run totals significantly. Breaking news about team form, bullpen availability, or head-to-head matchup history may also prompt traders to adjust positions. Real-time game developments, such as early scoring or pitching changes, will drive price movement as the event unfolds.