TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 24, 4:39 PM EST
Kalshi
This event concerns whether a run will be scored in the opening inning of a Major League Baseball game between two teams. The focus is on the early offensive performance during the first inning of this matchup.
If either team scores a run in the first inning of the Colorado vs Milwaukee professional baseball game originally scheduled for Jul 24, 2026 at 4:10 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, traders collectively set the price through buying and selling contracts that represent the two possible outcomes. The current implied probability reflects the balance of bets placed on each side, adjusted for liquidity and volume of $444,885. As game time nears, sharp shifts may occur based on starting lineups, weather updates, or recent batting performance, all of which influence trader sentiment.
This market resolves around Jul 24, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the game’s first inning is complete and verified against credible public sources. The result hinges solely on which team scores first in that inning, with no adjustments for later events or disputed calls.
Key signals include starting pitcher announcements, weather delays, or last-minute lineup changes — all can shift perceptions of which team is more likely to score first. Any update that alters the expected offensive strength or game conditions may cause rapid price swings, especially as Jul 24, 2026 approaches and traders place final bets.