TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 8, 12:54 AM EST
Kalshi
This market on Kalshi tracks whether Colorado and Los Angeles Dodgers will combine for more than 7.5 runs in their matchup. The leading outcome currently stands at 99.0% probability. Resolution is determined by the official run total from the professional baseball game scheduled for July 7, 2026 at 10:10 PM EDT, as tracked by the resolution source. Watch for the final score when the game concludes on July 7, 2026, which will determine whether the combined runs exceed the 7.5-run threshold.
The Colorado vs Los Angeles Dodgers game scheduled for July 7, 2026 at 10:10 PM EDT will be evaluated for total runs scored by both teams combined. Resolution occurs when the combined final score exceeds specified run thresholds, with separate outcomes for each threshold level (3.5, 4.5, 5.5, 6.5, 7.5, 8.5, 9.5, 10.5, 11.5, 12.5, and 13.5 runs). Each threshold outcome resolves to Yes if the combined total surpasses that specific level.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and manage risk, while prediction markets like this one aggregate the beliefs of traders who have real money at stake. Traders in this market are motivated to price the total runs outcome accurately to profit, which can lead to sharper or earlier signals than traditional sportsbooks. Comparing the two can reveal where consensus differs and highlight potential value opportunities.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through an order-book mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing different outcomes for the total runs. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each outcome reflects the collective willingness of market participants to trade at that level, with higher prices indicating greater perceived likelihood. As new information emerges or trading activity shifts, prices adjust in real time, allowing you to enter or exit positions at the prevailing market rate.
This market resolves around Jul 8, 2026, once the game concludes and the final run total is confirmed. The outcome is determined by the actual combined runs scored by both teams during the matchup, verified against credible public sources. Once the event result is finalized and reported, the market will settle automatically, and traders holding the winning outcome will receive their payout based on the odds at which they entered their positions.
Several factors can shift odds in this market before resolution. Roster changes, injuries to key players, or lineup announcements may alter expectations for offensive output. Weather conditions on game day—wind speed, temperature, and humidity—can significantly impact how far the ball travels and overall scoring. Recent team performance, batting trends, and head-to-head matchup history also influence trader sentiment. Breaking news about player availability or last-minute strategic adjustments can trigger rapid repricing as the market absorbs new information.