TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 7, 1:39 AM EST
Kalshi
This market on Kalshi tracks whether Colorado and Los Angeles Dodgers will combine for more than 11.5 runs in their matchup. The leading outcome currently stands at 99.0% probability. Resolution is determined by the official combined run total from the professional baseball game scheduled for July 6, 2026 at 10:10 PM EDT, as reported by standard sports data sources. Watch for the final out of the game on July 6, 2026, which will close the betting window and trigger resolution based on the teams' combined scoring.
The Colorado vs Los Angeles Dodgers game scheduled for July 6, 2026 at 10:10 PM EDT will be evaluated for total runs scored by both teams combined. Resolution occurs when the combined final score exceeds specified run thresholds, ranging from 4.5 runs to 14.5 runs. Each threshold represents a separate market outcome, with higher thresholds requiring progressively more total scoring. The game's official final score determines resolution, and outcomes are evaluated based on whether the combined total strictly exceeds the stated threshold.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they serve different audiences and operate under different constraints. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and manage risk, while prediction markets like this one are driven by trader consensus and real-money incentives to forecast accurately. Comparing this market's odds to major sportsbooks can reveal where professional bettors and casual traders disagree, sometimes signaling value or hidden information not yet priced into traditional sports betting lines.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through an order-book mechanism where traders buy and sell contracts representing different run-total outcomes. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The bid-ask spread reflects the gap between buyers and sellers, and prices move as new orders flow in and existing positions are filled. Larger trades or sudden shifts in trader conviction can cause sharp price moves, making real-time monitoring valuable for timing entries and exits.
This market resolves around Jul 7, 2026, once the Colorado versus Los Angeles game concludes and the final run total is verified against credible public sources. The outcome is determined by the combined runs scored by both teams across all innings. Traders holding positions at resolution will be settled based on whether the actual total falls on the side of the market they backed.
Key catalysts include lineup announcements, starting pitcher confirmations, weather forecasts, and recent team performance trends. Injury updates to star players can shift run-scoring expectations significantly. Live game developments—such as early offensive explosions, pitching changes, or defensive plays—will also drive sharp repricing as traders update their forecasts in real time. Pre-game betting action and sportsbook line movements may signal where sharp money is positioning itself.