TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 8, 11:34 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks the combined run production by Colorado and Los Angeles Dodgers during the first five innings of their July 8, 2026 matchup. Bettors can wager on whether the total runs scored will exceed various thresholds, from 0.5 runs up to 6.5 runs.
Resolution is determined by the combined run total scored by both teams through the completion of the fifth inning of the Colorado vs Los Angeles Dodgers game scheduled for July 8, 2026 at 10:10 PM EDT. Seven separate markets exist, each with a distinct run threshold (0.5, 1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5, 5.5, and 6.5 runs). Each market resolves to Yes if the combined total exceeds its specified threshold. If the game is postponed or delayed, markets remain open and resolve after the rescheduled game concludes within two days.
Prediction market odds and traditional sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and protect their margins, while prediction markets aggregate trader beliefs through continuous price discovery. For this matchup, comparing this market's implied probabilities to major sportsbook lines can reveal where professional oddsmakers and crowd sentiment align or diverge, offering traders a lens into potential value or consensus shifts.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through an order-book mechanism where traders submit bids and asks, and the last executed trade price reflects the current consensus probability. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Shares trade between 0 and 100 cents, with each cent representing a 1 percent implied probability of the outcome. As new information emerges or trading volume shifts, prices adjust dynamically to reflect updated market sentiment on the first-five-innings run total.
This market resolves around Jul 9, 2026, once the Colorado versus Los Angeles game concludes and the first five innings are complete. The outcome will be verified against credible public sources to confirm the total runs scored during that window. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will receive their payout based on the final verified result.
Key catalysts include lineup announcements, pitcher matchups, weather conditions, and recent team performance trends heading into the game. Injury reports or roster changes can shift expectations around offensive firepower in the early innings. As game time approaches, updated weather forecasts, ballpark conditions, and any last-minute roster adjustments may trigger significant price movement. Real-time game events during the first five innings will also drive continuous repricing as traders react to early scoring patterns.