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$141,541,542
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OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
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MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
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Polymarket:
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VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 7, 10:54 PM EST
Kalshi
This baseball market evaluates the winner after the first three innings of the Colorado vs Los Angeles Dodgers game on July 7, 2026. If the score is tied after three innings, the tie outcome resolves to Yes while team outcomes resolve to No.
The Colorado vs Los Angeles Dodgers game scheduled for July 7, 2026 at 10:10 PM EDT will be evaluated at the conclusion of the first three innings. If Colorado leads after three innings, the Colorado outcome resolves to Yes. If Los Angeles Dodgers lead after three innings, the Los Angeles Dodgers outcome resolves to Yes. If the score is tied after three innings, the Tie outcome resolves to Yes and all team outcomes resolve to No. If the game is postponed or delayed, the market remains open and closes after the rescheduled game concludes within two days.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and manage risk, while prediction markets aggregate the collective beliefs of traders betting real money on outcomes. This market aggregates trader conviction about the first three innings, which may differ from traditional sportsbook pricing due to variations in how each venue weights public information, sharp action, and market-making strategies. Comparing the two can reveal where consensus differs most sharply.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through continuous order-book trading, where buyers and sellers submit bids and asks that determine the real-time odds for each outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders can enter limit or market orders to position themselves on their preferred outcome, and the price adjusts dynamically as new orders flow in. The platform's matching engine ensures transparent price discovery, so the odds you see reflect the most recent consensus among active traders on the platform at any given moment.
This market resolves around Jul 8, 2026, once the first three innings of the Colorado versus Los Angeles game are complete and the outcome is verifiable from credible public sources. The result will be confirmed based on the official box score and game records, ensuring that all traders have a clear, objective measure of which outcome occurred. Resolution timing may shift slightly if the game is postponed or rescheduled, but the market will settle as soon as the relevant inning data is finalized and publicly available.
Several factors can shift odds in this market before the game begins and during the first three innings. Lineup announcements, starting pitcher confirmations, and injury updates to key players will likely trigger repricing as traders reassess early-game dynamics. Weather conditions, ballpark factors, and recent team performance trends also influence how traders position themselves. Once play starts, actual runs scored, base runners left on, and momentum swings in the early frames will drive real-time price adjustments as the market reflects live game state and evolving probabilities.