TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 7, 1:39 AM EST
Kalshi
A professional baseball game between a team and its opponent is scheduled for July 6, 2026, in the evening. The event in question is whether this particular matchup will extend beyond regulation play and require extra innings to determine a winner.
If Colorado and Los Angeles D go to extra innings in the Colorado vs Los Angeles D professional baseball game originally scheduled for Jul 6, 2026 at 10:10 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
Prediction market odds often diverge from traditional sportsbook lines because they reflect real-time trader consensus rather than fixed oddsmaker pricing. On platforms like Kalshi, odds update continuously as new information emerges, whereas sportsbooks adjust less frequently and build in a margin. Prediction markets can sometimes offer sharper pricing on niche outcomes like extra innings, since they aggregate dispersed knowledge from many participants. However, sportsbooks may offer tighter spreads on high-volume bets, so comparing both sources helps identify value.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through continuous order-book matching, where buyers and sellers set the odds by placing bids and asks on the probability of extra innings. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price you see reflects the last executed trade and the current spread between buy and sell orders. As traders update their positions based on injury reports, weather forecasts, or bullpen availability, the market price adjusts in real time, ensuring the odds stay aligned with evolving game conditions.
This market resolves around Jul 7, 2026, once the Colorado versus Los Angeles game concludes and the final result is verified against credible public sources. The outcome is determined by whether the game goes to extra innings or ends in regulation. Resolution occurs after the event is officially confirmed, ensuring accuracy before payouts are processed. Traders should monitor the game schedule and any postponements that might affect the resolution timeline.
Several factors can shift odds in this market before game time and during play. Pitcher availability, bullpen depth, and recent offensive trends for both teams influence the likelihood of a close game extending to extra innings. Weather conditions, field elevation, and travel fatigue also matter. Injury announcements to key position players or closers can swing sentiment quickly. Once the game begins, score progression, pitching changes, and momentum swings will drive real-time price movement as traders reassess the probability of reaching extra innings.