TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 16, 12:05 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of an MLS soccer match between Colorado and Kansas City, focusing on the margin of victory for either team. It considers different thresholds for how many goals the winning team scores over the opponent. The result is determined based on the final score after regular time, excluding any extra time or penalty kicks.
The event evaluates multiple possible outcomes of the Colorado vs Kansas City MLS soccer match scheduled for August 15, 2026, each defined by a specific goal-differential threshold. If Colorado wins by more than 2.5 goals, that specific market resolves to Yes. Similarly, if Colorado wins by more than 1.5 goals, that corresponding market resolves positively. The same resolution logic applies if Kansas City wins by more than 1.5 goals or more than 2.5 goals. All resolutions are based solely on the final score after 90 minutes plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty kicks are excluded from consideration. The event operates independently of any official league affiliations, and all trademarks referenced belong to their respective owners.
Prediction market odds in this market often reflect a blend of sharp and public money, sometimes showing tighter spreads than traditional sportsbooks. While sportsbooks incorporate house edges and broader public sentiment, prediction markets let participants bet directly on their outlook, which can lead to more volatile line movements as game conditions evolve.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, traders collectively set the odds through buying and selling contracts that represent possible outcomes of the Colorado vs Kansas City spread. The current implied probability reflects the market’s view of which team is favored by the set point margin. Trading volume of $62,943 helps determine how liquid and responsive the pricing is to new information or shifts in team performance leading up to Aug 16, 2026.
This market resolves around Aug 16, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final point spread recorded after the official game conclusion determines the result, closing all positions based on that definitive margin.
Injuries to key players, changes in coaching strategy, or weather conditions on game day could all shift this market. Strong pre-game polls, expert analysis, or notable practice performances may also influence trader sentiment. As Aug 16, 2026 approaches, any update that changes the perceived likelihood of which team covering the spread will drive rapid price adjustments on Kalshi.