TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 13, 2:54 PM EST
Kalshi
An official baseball contest between two teams features a regulation that extends beyond its standard duration if additional periods are necessary to determine a winner. This extension occurs when the competitive balance remains unresolved after the initial allotted time. The occurrence of such extended play forms a specific condition tied to the event's progression.
If at least 1 extra inning is played in the Colorado vs Detroit professional baseball game originally scheduled for Sep 13, 2026 at 12:10 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. This can lead to discrepancies, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts. Often, prediction markets are seen as more accurate forecasters of event outcomes than traditional odds, as they incorporate a wider range of perspectives and are continuously updated based on real-time trading activity. It's common to see this market adjust more dynamically to breaking news than fixed sportsbook lines.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. As more traders buy into a particular outcome, its price increases, and the implied probability rises. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth and trading volume influence how quickly prices adjust to new information. Traders are incentivized to set accurate probabilities, as profitable trades depend on correctly anticipating the event's outcome. This dynamic pricing mechanism aims to create a highly efficient and informative market.
This market resolves around Sep 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the final result of the Colorado vs Detroit game, including any extra innings played. The platform will utilize publicly available and widely accepted sources to determine the winner. Traders will then be paid out based on whether their purchased contracts align with the verified outcome. It’s important to monitor news sources leading up to the resolution date to stay informed about any potential factors that could influence the final result.
Several signals could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding key player injuries, changes in pitching rotations, or weather forecasts affecting game conditions could cause price fluctuations. Unexpected performance from either team in preceding games could also shift market sentiment. Major announcements related to team strategy or managerial decisions could also influence trading activity. Furthermore, significant betting patterns observed in other markets or public polls may also contribute to movement in this market as traders react to perceived information or shifts in broader expectations.