TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 26, 10:00 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether the Colorado team will win their professional baseball game against Chicago WS. Currently, Kalshi gives Colorado an 81.0% probability of winning, while Chicago WS is at 20.0%. The market resolves based on the outcome of the Colorado vs Chicago WS professional baseball game originally scheduled for Sep 26, 2026 at 7:10 PM EDT, as reported by the game’s official results. Keep a close eye on the game itself, as the market will resolve following the conclusion of play on September 27, 2026, to determine the ultimate winner.
If Colorado wins the Colorado vs Chicago WS professional baseball game originally scheduled for Sep 26, 2026 at 7:10 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes. If Chicago WS wins the Colorado vs Chicago WS professional baseball game originally scheduled for Sep 26, 2026 at 7:10 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect a different set of information and incentives than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, while Kalshi allows traders to directly express their beliefs. As a result, this market can sometimes offer more favorable odds, especially if there's disagreement between the crowd's assessment and the sportsbook's initial lines. It’s common to see prediction markets move more efficiently in response to new information, as traders are incentivized to quickly incorporate it into their valuations.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders bid to buy 'yes' contracts (believing the outcome will occur) and ask to sell 'yes' contracts (believing it won't). On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of a contract represents the implied probability of that outcome happening. As more people buy 'yes' contracts, the price increases, and the implied probability rises. Conversely, increased selling pressure lowers the price and the probability. This dynamic pricing mechanism ensures the market reflects the collective wisdom of the crowd.
This market resolves around Sep 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final result of the Colorado vs Chicago game, as reported by official sources, will determine the winning contract. Traders who correctly predicted the outcome will receive a payout based on the final market price at resolution. It's important to monitor news and official announcements leading up to this date to stay informed about any potential factors that could influence the result.
Several signals could significantly move this market before Sep 27, 2026. Any major news regarding player injuries, changes in coaching strategies, or unexpected team performance in preceding games could all impact trader sentiment. Public opinion shifts, reflected in polls or expert analyses, can also influence the market. Furthermore, large-volume trades on Kalshi by informed traders could signal new information or a change in expectations, causing a rapid shift in the odds for the Colorado vs Chicago game.