TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 17, 10:50 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether the Colorado Rockies will defeat the Chicago Cubs in their scheduled professional baseball game. On Kalshi, the probability that Colorado wins stands at 99.0%, while Chicago's winning probability is at 2.0%. The market resolves based on the official result of the game as determined by Major League Baseball. Watch for the game's completion on June 17, 2026 at 8:05 PM EDT, when the final outcome will be confirmed.
This event resolves based on the outcome of the Colorado vs Chicago C professional baseball game originally scheduled for June 17, 2026 at 8:05 PM EDT. If the game is postponed or delayed, the market remains open and will close after the rescheduled game concludes, provided the reschedule occurs within two days of the original date. Should the game be cancelled entirely or rescheduled to more than two days after the original date, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with standard resolution procedures.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets aggregate the beliefs of traders risking real capital on outcomes. This market's odds may lead or lag traditional sportsbook spreads depending on which venue receives new information first. Comparing the two can reveal where sharp traders see value relative to conventional betting markets.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through an order-book mechanism where traders submit bids and asks for shares representing each outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each contract reflects the marginal trade—the last executed transaction—and moves continuously as new orders arrive. Wider bid-ask spreads indicate lower liquidity, while tighter spreads suggest active trading. Kalshi's transparent order flow lets you see depth and adjust your entry or exit strategy accordingly.
This market resolves around Jun 18, 2026, once the matchup concludes and the result is verifiable from credible public reporting. The outcome will be confirmed based on the final score and official game records. Until that point, prices will fluctuate as new information—team news, injury updates, betting action—reaches the market. Early resolution is possible if circumstances make the outcome certain before the scheduled end date.
Key catalysts include roster changes, injury announcements, and recent team performance trends. Betting action from sharp money or sudden volume spikes can shift prices rapidly. Public news coverage, analyst commentary, and line movement at major sportsbooks often trigger repricing here as well. Game-day factors like weather, venue conditions, and team motivation closer to tipoff may also influence trader positioning. Monitoring these signals helps you anticipate where this market might head.