TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,590,312
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,439,516,703
404,175
Markets across
30,277
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,685
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 26, 4:00 PM EST
Kalshi
The outcome hinges on whether the Colorado vs Baylor college football match will extend into overtime. Overtime is triggered when the score is tied at the end of regulation, requiring additional periods to determine a victor. The market resolves based on whether the teams can settle the game within the standard timeframe or will need extra play to produce a winner.
If at least 1 overtime period is played in the Colorado vs Baylor college football game originally scheduled for Sep 26, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to express their belief about the likelihood of overtime. If a significant discrepancy exists, arbitrage opportunities may arise, where traders can profit by simultaneously betting on both platforms. However, it’s important to remember that prediction markets often incorporate information faster than sportsbooks, especially regarding factors not explicitly considered in initial lines.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of a contract reflects the market’s probability assessment of that outcome occurring. For example, a contract for one overtime period trading at 50 means the market believes there’s a 50% chance of exactly one overtime period. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price is determined by supply and demand; as more people buy contracts for a specific outcome, the price increases, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly adjust to new information.
This market resolves around Sep 26, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will depend on the official result of the Colorado vs Baylor game, specifically whether overtime occurs and, if so, the number of overtime periods played. The market will settle based on the official game statistics as reported by a recognized sports data source. Traders will be able to see the final outcome reflected in their account balances shortly after the game concludes and the results are verified.
Several signals could influence this market before resolution. Any news regarding key player injuries for either Colorado or Baylor would likely cause movement, as the absence of important players could impact the game's competitiveness and increase the likelihood of a close contest potentially leading to overtime. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if severe weather is expected, could also affect the market. Finally, any late-breaking news regarding team strategies or coaching decisions could shift trader sentiment and impact the price of contracts in this market.