TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 26, 1:50 PM EST
Kalshi
This market focuses on predicting which team will score more points in a specific quarter of a college football game between Colorado and Baylor. It allows participants to speculate on short-term performance during the second quarter of play. The outcome depends solely on the points scored in that quarter, not the overall game result.
If Baylor wins the 2nd quarter of the Colorado vs Baylor college football game originally scheduled for Sep 26, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Colorado wins the 2nd quarter of the Colorado vs Baylor college football game originally scheduled for Sep 26, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If neither team wins the 2nd quarter of the Colorado vs Baylor college football game originally scheduled for Sep 26, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, which can sometimes differ from sportsbook odds set by professionals. Sportsbooks often incorporate a ‘vig’ or commission into their odds, while this market allows traders to directly assess probabilities. If a significant discrepancy exists between this market and sportsbook lines, it could indicate that the crowd believes the sportsbook is mispricing the likelihood of a particular outcome. However, it’s important to remember that both represent different forms of forecasting, and neither is always perfectly accurate.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing each possible outcome. The price of a contract reflects the market’s implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy into a particular outcome, its price increases, and the implied probability rises. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust expectations as the event approaches. The current top outcome is a 2nd quarter tie, though its chance percentage is not available.
This market resolves around Sep 26, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The winning team of the second quarter in the Colorado vs Baylor game will determine the outcome. The result will be determined by official game statistics and verified against credible public sources. The platform will then settle the contracts based on which outcome occurred, paying out to those who correctly predicted the winner of the second quarter.
Several factors could influence this market before the game concludes. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in coaching strategy, or even weather conditions could shift trader sentiment and impact the odds. Unexpected performance during the first quarter of the game would also likely cause significant movement. Furthermore, large volume trades on Kalshi from informed traders could signal new information or a change in expectations, causing the market to react quickly. Public opinion and analysis from sports commentators could also play a role.