TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 26, 4:01 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets focus on predicting the outcome of the second half of a college football game between Colorado and Baylor, specifically how many points each team might win by during that period. The markets cover various point spreads to accommodate different levels of victory margins for either team.
All markets resolve based solely on points scored during the second half of play, including any overtime periods. If Baylor wins the second half by more than the specified point spread listed in the market title, that market resolves to Yes for Baylor outcomes; conversely, if Colorado wins by more than the specified spread, the market resolves to Yes for Colorado outcomes. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of its original scheduled start time, all markets remain open and resolve according to the final official result. Should the game fail to start within this 48-hour window, all markets will resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants regardless of the specific point differential thresholds outlined in individual markets.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often converging with—but sometimes diverging from—traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set their lines based on quantitative models and expert analysis, while this market allows anyone to trade based on their own insights. If a significant difference emerges between prediction market prices and sportsbook odds, it may indicate that market participants have access to information or perspectives not fully incorporated by sportsbooks. It’s important to remember that both represent probabilities of an outcome, but are derived through different mechanisms.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different point spreads for the second half of the Colorado vs Baylor game. The price of each contract reflects the market’s collective assessment of the probability of that spread occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust dynamically, providing a real-time indication of expectations. The current price indicates the cost to purchase a contract that pays out if the actual spread falls within the specified range.
This market resolves around Sep 26, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final second-half spread of the Colorado vs Baylor game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result reported by the governing body of college football. The contracts will pay out $1.00 to the winning side, minus any applicable fees. It’s important to monitor the event closely as the resolution date approaches to understand how the market is interpreting the latest information.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Colorado or Baylor teams would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they impact the style of play favored by either team, could also shift expectations. Furthermore, late-breaking news about team strategies or coaching decisions might prompt traders to reassess the probabilities, leading to price adjustments. Public sentiment and analysis from sports commentators could also play a role, influencing trading activity and the overall direction of the market.