TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 13, 12:59 AM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether the Oakland Athletics will defeat the Colorado Rockies by more than 2.5 runs in their June 12, 2026 matchup. On Kalshi, the A's winning by over 1.5 runs stands at 34.0%, while Colorado winning by over 1.5 runs is at 21.0%. Resolution is determined by the official final score of the game scheduled for 10:05 PM EDT on June 12, 2026. Watch the game's completion on June 12 to see which team emerges with a decisive margin of victory.
Resolution is determined by the final score differential in the game originally scheduled for June 12, 2026 at 10:05 PM EDT. Oakland outcomes resolve to Yes if Oakland wins by more than the specified run margin, while Colorado outcomes resolve to Yes if Colorado wins by more than the specified run margin. The winning team and the magnitude of their victory determine which outcome resolves affirmatively.
Prediction market odds and traditional sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and manage risk, while prediction markets aggregate the beliefs of traders risking real capital. This market may price the spread differently than major sportsbooks, offering traders an alternative view of the likely outcome. Comparing the two can reveal where consensus differs or where value may exist.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order-book mechanism where traders buy and sell shares tied to specific spread outcomes. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each outcome reflects the collective willingness of traders to commit capital, with higher prices indicating greater perceived likelihood. As new trades execute, prices adjust in real time, allowing participants to enter or exit positions at market rates throughout the trading window.
This market resolves around Jun 13, 2026, once the game concludes and the final spread is verifiable from credible public sources. The outcome is determined by comparing the actual final score differential to the specified spread threshold. Your position settles based on whether the result falls above, below, or exactly at the predicted spread, with payouts distributed according to the market rules.
Key catalysts include injury announcements, lineup changes, weather conditions, and recent team performance trends. Betting action and sharp money flowing into one side can shift prices as traders react to new information. Public statements from coaches, updated odds from major sportsbooks, and momentum swings in either team's season may also influence how traders reassess the likely spread. Monitor sports news and betting trends closely for potential market-moving developments.