TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 12, 11:34 PM EST
Kalshi
This market examines scoring activity during only the first five innings of the June 12, 2026 game. It measures the combined runs scored by both teams during this early portion of the game.
Resolution is based on the combined runs scored by Colorado and Oakland during the first five innings of the game originally scheduled for June 12, 2026 at 10:05 PM EDT. Each outcome corresponds to a specific run threshold for the first five innings only. If the game is postponed or delayed, the market remains open and resolves after the rescheduled game concludes within two days. The final score at the end of the fifth inning determines resolution.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and manage risk, while prediction markets aggregate the beliefs of traders risking real capital. This market may show odds that differ meaningfully from major sportsbooks, especially if informed traders have conviction about first-inning scoring patterns or pitcher matchups. Comparing the two can reveal where the crowd on Kalshi sees value that traditional oddsmakers have missed or underpriced.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through an order-book mechanism where traders submit buy and sell orders at their chosen odds. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price you see represents the consensus of all active traders, updated continuously as new orders arrive and existing ones are filled. Kalshi's transparent order flow means you can see depth and liquidity at different price levels, helping you decide whether to take the current bid-ask spread or place a limit order and wait for a better fill.
This market resolves around Jun 13, 2026, once the Colorado versus Oakland Athletics game concludes and the first five innings are complete. The outcome is determined by the official combined run total recorded during that period and verified against credible public sources. Once the result is confirmed, the market will settle automatically, paying out traders who correctly predicted whether the total would exceed or fall short of the specified threshold.
Several factors can shift odds before the game begins: starting pitcher announcements, late-inning lineup changes, weather conditions at the stadium, and injury updates affecting key batters or pitchers. Betting action on external sportsbooks can also influence sentiment on this market as sharp money flows in. Once the game starts, early scoring in the first few innings will likely trigger rapid repricing as traders update their expectations for the full five-inning total. Momentum swings and unexpected offensive performances early on are the primary catalysts for price movement.