TOTAL VOLUME:

$134b

24H VOL:

$87,997,338

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,395,155,069

395,664

Markets across

30,076

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,626

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Colorado State Rams vs. New Mexico Lobos
kalshi
polymarket

Colorado State Rams vs. New Mexico Lobos

Volume:
$2,149,275

Colorado St.

 - Kalshi

Colorado St. - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Mar 5, 2026

Closed: Mar 5, 1:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Colorado St.

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,141,134
N/A
N/A
$640,759
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 150.5

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$10,467
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Colorado State Rams vs. New Mexico Lobos

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$5,437
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

New Mexico

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$991,273
N/A
N/A
$736,906
Settled
No
polymarket

O/U 149.5

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$86
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -8.5

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$875
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Spread -9.5

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 7

Description

A men's college basketball game between Colorado State Rams and New Mexico Lobos scheduled for March 4, 2026 at 10:00 PM ET. Multiple prediction markets track the moneyline winner, point spread outcomes, and total points scored.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi moneyline market has a logical contradiction where both possible game outcomes (Colorado State win and New Mexico win) are specified to resolve to Yes, making the market fundamentally unresolvable. Polymarket moneyline correctly specifies mutually exclusive outcomes.Hero tip: Do not trade Kalshi's moneyline market until the platform clarifies the resolution logic. The current wording violates basic binary market structure. Focus on Polymarket's well-defined moneyline and spread markets, which have consistent and resolvable logic across all variants.

Critical divergence points:

  • Kalshi: Moneyline market states both Colorado State win and New Mexico win resolve to Yes. This creates a logical impossibility in a binary event structure. No explicit handling of cancellation or postponement is provided.
  • Polymarket: Moneyline resolves to either 'Colorado State Rams' or 'New Mexico Lobos' (mutually exclusive outcomes). Spread markets (-9.5, -8.5) resolve based on margin thresholds. Over/Under markets (149.5, 150.5) resolve based on combined score. All markets include explicit postponement (market remains open) and cancellation (50-50 split) clauses.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.