TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.1b
24H VOL:
$217,487,446
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,300,303,450
498,643
Markets across
13,761
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,763
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Colorado State Rams vs. New Mexico Lobos
Volume:
$2,149,275
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
A men's college basketball game between Colorado State Rams and New Mexico Lobos scheduled for March 4, 2026 at 10:00 PM ET. Multiple prediction markets track the moneyline winner, point spread outcomes, and total points scored.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi moneyline market has a logical contradiction where both possible game outcomes (Colorado State win and New Mexico win) are specified to resolve to Yes, making the market fundamentally unresolvable. Polymarket moneyline correctly specifies mutually exclusive outcomes.Hero Tip:
Do not trade Kalshi's moneyline market until the platform clarifies the resolution logic. The current wording violates basic binary market structure. Focus on Polymarket's well-defined moneyline and spread markets, which have consistent and resolvable logic across all variants.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Moneyline market states both Colorado State win and New Mexico win resolve to Yes. This creates a logical impossibility in a binary event structure. No explicit handling of cancellation or postponement is provided.
- Polymarket: Moneyline resolves to either 'Colorado State Rams' or 'New Mexico Lobos' (mutually exclusive outcomes). Spread markets (-9.5, -8.5) resolve based on margin thresholds. Over/Under markets (149.5, 150.5) resolve based on combined score. All markets include explicit postponement (market remains open) and cancellation (50-50 split) clauses.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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