TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 22, 10:41 PM EST
Kalshi
This market predicts the winner of the first half of a USL Championship soccer match between Colorado Springs Switchbacks and Miami on July 22, 2026. The first half concludes after 45 minutes plus stoppage time, and bettors can wager on either team winning or the teams tying.
The first half of the Colorado Springs Sw. vs Miami professional USL Championship soccer game originally scheduled for July 22, 2026 will be evaluated after 45 minutes plus stoppage time. Resolution depends on which team scores more goals during this period. If both teams score an equal number of goals or no goals are scored, the result is a tie. Should the game be cancelled or rescheduled to more than two weeks away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and manage risk, while prediction markets aggregate the collective beliefs of traders who profit or lose based on accuracy. This market may show odds that differ from traditional sportsbooks, particularly as new information emerges or as the event draws closer. Comparing the two can reveal where the crowd's confidence diverges from professional oddsmakers' positioning.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell shares representing each outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Prices range from 0 to 100 cents, with each cent reflecting a 1% probability. As traders place bids and offers, the market price adjusts in real time. Higher prices indicate stronger conviction that an outcome will occur, while lower prices suggest skepticism. The spread between buy and sell prices narrows as more volume flows through the market.
This market resolves around Jul 23, 2026, once the first half of the game concludes and the result is verified. The outcome is determined by which team holds the lead when the first half ends. Resolution is confirmed against credible public sources reporting the halftime score. Traders who correctly predicted the winning team at halftime receive their payout, while those on the losing side forfeit their stake.
Several factors can shift odds in this market before halftime. Injury reports or late roster changes announced before game time may alter perceived team strength. Pregame momentum—such as recent form, head-to-head records, or public sentiment—often triggers price swings. Weather conditions or venue factors can also influence early trading. As the game begins, live scoring and performance in the opening minutes typically drive the most dramatic repricing. Breaking news or unexpected lineup adjustments will also prompt traders to adjust their positions.