TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 11, 4:05 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming MLB game between the Colorado Rockies and San Francisco Giants, scheduled for July 11 at 4:05 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Colorado Rockies" if the Colorado Rockies is winning the game at the conclusion of the 5th inning. This market will resolve to "San Francisco Giants" if the San Francisco Giants is winning the game at the conclusion of the 5th inning. If the game is tied at the conclusion of the 5th inning, this market will resolve to "Draw". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the 5th inning has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. To know when a postponed game will be played, please check the home team's schedule on MLB.com for the listed team and look for the game described as a makeup game. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
In the upcoming MLB game between the Colorado Rockies and San Francisco Giants, scheduled for July 11 at 4:05 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Colorado Rockies" if the Colorado Rockies is winning the game at the conclusion of the 5th inning. This market will resolve to "San Francisco Giants" if the San Francisco Giants is winning the game at the conclusion of the 5th inning. If the game is tied at the conclusion of the 5th inning, this market will resolve to "Draw". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the 5th inning has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. To know when a postponed game will be played, please check the home team's schedule on MLB.com for the listed team and look for the game described as a makeup game. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Prediction market odds and traditional sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and manage risk, while prediction markets aggregate the beliefs of traders who have real money at stake on outcomes. This market's odds represent a consensus forecast from participants trading on Polymarket, whereas sportsbooks may emphasize sharp action or public betting patterns. Comparing the two can reveal where professional traders and casual bettors disagree on the likelihood of a Rockies or Giants lead through five innings.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through an automated market maker that converts trader orders into real-time probability estimates. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Each outcome's price reflects the cumulative bets placed by all participants, with higher prices indicating stronger collective confidence in that result. As traders buy or sell shares, the price adjusts continuously, allowing the market to incorporate new information—such as injury reports, lineup changes, or weather updates—instantly. This mechanism ensures that the odds always represent the most current consensus view among active traders.
This market resolves around Jul 11, 2026, once the first five innings of the game are complete and the result is verifiable from credible public sources. The outcome is determined by which team holds the lead after exactly five innings have been played. If the score is tied after five innings, that outcome is also a valid resolution. Traders should monitor official game broadcasts and box scores to confirm the final standing before the market settles.
Several factors can shift odds in this market before the game begins and during the first five innings. Lineup announcements, starting pitcher confirmations, and last-minute roster changes often trigger significant price movement. Weather conditions at the stadium—wind speed and direction, temperature, and humidity—can favor either team's style of play. Injury updates, betting syndicate activity, and sharp money flowing into one side can also drive rapid repricing. Once play starts, early runs, defensive plays, and pitching performance will continuously reshape trader expectations about which team leads through five innings.