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406,422

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2,688

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

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Colorado Rockies vs. San Francisco Giants
polymarket
kalshi

Who will win Colorado Rockies vs San Francisco Giants?

Volume:
$2,552,669

San Francisco

 - Kalshi

San Francisco - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 12, 2026

Closed: Jul 11, 6:34 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

San Francisco

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,293,524
N/A
N/A
$684,354
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -1.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$2,556
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 5.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$165
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Colorado

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,009,502
N/A
N/A
$536,573
Settled
No
polymarket

Colorado Rockies vs. San Francisco Giants

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$221,087
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 8.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$21,523
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 7.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,266
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

NRFI

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,156
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

O/U 6.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$662
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Extra Innings

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$307
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Spread -2.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$272
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1st 5 Innings Spread -2.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$160
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -1.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$146
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$82
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$65
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1st 5 Innings O/U 5.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$51
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1st 5 Innings Spread -2.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$46
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -3.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$43
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1st 5 Innings O/U 6.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$20
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$15
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1st 5 Innings Spread -1.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$10
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1st 5 Innings Spread -1.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$10
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 22

Intro

This market tracks the outcome of the Colorado Rockies vs. San Francisco Giants MLB game scheduled for July 11, 2026 at 4:05 PM ET, specifically whether the Giants will cover a -3.5 run spread. Across Polymarket and Kalshi, the aggregated consensus shows 20.0% probability for the Giants covering -3.5, with 100.0% probability assigned to the Giants covering -1.5 spread. Resolution will be determined by official MLB records. Watch for the game result on July 11, 2026, which will determine the final spread outcome and settle both markets.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi moneyline market contains a logical contradiction: both Colorado win and San Francisco win are stated to resolve to Yes, making the market unresolvable as a binary outcome market. Polymarket offers clear, consistent resolution logic across both its markets.Hero tip: Do not trade Kalshi moneyline until the platform clarifies the resolution logic. The Polymarket moneyline and first-inning run markets are safe to trade based on standard MLB resolution sources.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Two distinct markets with clear binary logic. Moneyline: Colorado Rockies wins or San Francisco Giants wins; tie/cancellation resolves 50-50. First-inning run: Yes if any run scores in inning 1, No if none. Both use official MLB statistics within 24 hours as primary source, credible reporting as fallback. Postponement keeps markets open.
  • Kalshi: Single moneyline market with critical flaw: states 'If Colorado wins...resolves to Yes' and separately 'If San Francisco wins...resolves to Yes'. This creates a logical impossibility—both outcomes cannot map to the same resolution state. No fallback resolution logic provided for postponement, cancellation, or tie scenarios.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

In the upcoming MLB game between the Colorado Rockies and San Francisco Giants, scheduled for July 11 at 4:05PM ET: This market will resolve to "Colorado Rockies" if the Colorado Rockies win the game. This market will resolve to "San Francisco Giants" if the San Francisco Giants win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Kalshi

This market covers the Colorado vs San Francisco professional baseball game originally scheduled for July 11, 2026 at 4:05 PM EDT. Each team has a corresponding market that resolves to Yes if that team wins the game. If the game is postponed or delayed, the market remains open and closes after the rescheduled game concludes within two days. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than two days away, the market resolves to a fair price in accordance with the rules.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction markets like Polymarket and Kalshi operate on peer-to-peer pricing: bettors themselves set odds through buy and sell orders, rather than a centralized sportsbook adjusting lines. This mechanism often produces sharper, faster-moving prices because traders have direct financial incentive to correct mispricings. Sportsbooks, by contrast, manage liability and hold margins, which can lag market-moving information. For this matchup, comparing prediction market probabilities to your preferred sportsbook's moneyline or run-line odds can reveal value opportunities and help you calibrate your own forecast.

Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform attracts different trader demographics, liquidity pools, and settlement rule interpretations. Polymarket's order book may reflect a higher concentration of bettors focused on first-inning scoring, while Kalshi's winner market draws those pricing overall game outcome. Latency in cross-platform arbitrage, regional user bases, and fee structures also create temporary spreads. These gaps typically narrow as informed traders exploit mispricings, but they can persist if the two markets are genuinely pricing different event dimensions or if liquidity is shallow on one side.

Key catalysts include injury reports or roster changes announced before first pitch, weather conditions at the stadium, and pregame betting action on traditional sportsbooks. Bullpen availability, recent team form, and head-to-head matchup history can all shift trader sentiment. Live updates during the game—such as early scoring, pitching changes, or momentum swings—will drive sharp repricing on intraday markets. Monitor team news feeds and Vegas line movements for early signals; prediction markets often react within minutes of new information, so early movers can capture edge before consensus prices adjust.