TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 10, 10:32 PM EST
Polymarket
This market tracks whether the New York Yankees will win their game against the Colorado Rockies by more than 6.5 runs. Currently, Polymarket gives a 100.0% probability to the New York Yankees (-6.5) winning, while the over/under of 14.5 runs has a 0.4% probability. Resolution will be based on the final score reported at https://www.mlb.com/scores. Keep an eye on the game itself, scheduled for September 10 at 7:05PM ET, as the outcome will be determined by the results of that single contest.
In the upcoming MLB game between the Colorado Rockies and New York Yankees, scheduled for September 10 at 7:05PM ET: This market will resolve to "Colorado Rockies" if the Colorado Rockies win the game. This market will resolve to "New York Yankees" if the New York Yankees win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Often, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks typically incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, representing their profit margin. This market, driven by the collective wisdom of traders on Polymarket, aims to reflect the true probability of an event occurring. While sportsbooks may initially set odds based on statistical models and expert opinions, this market evolves as new information emerges and traders adjust their positions. It's common to see differences in probabilities, particularly as the event approaches and more data becomes available.
This market resolves around Sep 17, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Colorado Rockies versus New York Yankees game. The platform will utilize publicly available sources to determine the final score and declare the winning outcome. Traders who correctly predicted the result will receive a payout based on the final market prices at the time of resolution. It's important to note that the outcome is determined by the actual game result, not by any subjective interpretation.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market. Any news regarding key player injuries, changes in the starting pitchers, or weather forecasts impacting the game could cause significant shifts in trader sentiment. Unexpected performance by either team in preceding games could also affect the odds. Furthermore, major news events or broader trends in baseball could indirectly influence the market. As the game day approaches, even minor updates or rumors can lead to increased trading volume and price fluctuations in this market.