TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,590,312
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,439,516,703
404,175
Markets across
30,277
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,685
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 26, 6:30 PM EST
Polymarket
This event group covers two related MLB markets for the July 26, 2:10 PM ET game between the Colorado Rockies and Milwaukee Brewers: one market resolves based on which team wins the game, and another resolves based on whether at least one run is scored in the first inning. Both markets share identical postponement, cancellation, and resolution source logic.
In the upcoming MLB game between the Colorado Rockies and Milwaukee Brewers, scheduled for July 26 at 2:10PM ET: This market will resolve to "Colorado Rockies" if the Colorado Rockies win the game. This market will resolve to "Milwaukee Brewers" if the Milwaukee Brewers win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
In the upcoming MLB game between the Colorado Rockies and Milwaukee Brewers, scheduled for July 26 at 2:10PM ET: This market will resolve to "Colorado Rockies" if the Colorado Rockies win the game. This market will resolve to "Milwaukee Brewers" if the Milwaukee Brewers win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Prediction markets and sportsbooks price outcomes differently because they operate under distinct models. Sportsbooks set odds to balance their book and manage risk, incorporating a built-in margin. Prediction markets, by contrast, aggregate trader beliefs through continuous price discovery—odds reflect what participants collectively think will happen, with minimal markup. This market's odds may diverge from traditional sportsbook lines, especially if one venue has concentrated volume or if new information reaches traders faster than bookmakers adjust. Comparing the two can reveal where consensus differs and highlight potential value.
Polymarket and Predict can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform attracts different trader demographics, liquidity pools, and risk appetites, which naturally creates pricing gaps. Polymarket and Predict may also enforce different market rules, fee structures, or settlement timelines that influence how participants value outcomes. Additionally, timing lags in information flow—one venue may react faster to breaking news or lineup changes—can cause temporary divergence. Comparing both prices helps you identify arbitrage opportunities and understand which platform's crowd is more confident in a particular outcome for this matchup.
Key catalysts include roster updates, injury announcements, recent team performance trends, and weather forecasts closer to game day. Bullpen availability, starting pitcher matchups, and head-to-head historical records often shift trader positioning. Breaking news about player health or lineup changes can trigger sharp repricing on both platforms. Volume spikes typically occur as the game approaches, especially if either team is in playoff contention or facing a critical matchup. Monitor sports news outlets and team announcements to stay ahead of market-moving developments.