TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 6, 10:10 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming MLB game between the Colorado Rockies and Los Angeles Dodgers, scheduled for July 6 at 10:10 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Colorado Rockies" if the Colorado Rockies is winning the game at the conclusion of the 5th inning. This market will resolve to "Los Angeles Dodgers" if the Los Angeles Dodgers is winning the game at the conclusion of the 5th inning. If the game is tied at the conclusion of the 5th inning, this market will resolve to "Draw". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the 5th inning has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. To know when a postponed game will be played, please check the home team's schedule on MLB.com for the listed team and look for the game described as a makeup game. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
In the upcoming MLB game between the Colorado Rockies and Los Angeles Dodgers, scheduled for July 6 at 10:10 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Colorado Rockies" if the Colorado Rockies is winning the game at the conclusion of the 5th inning. This market will resolve to "Los Angeles Dodgers" if the Los Angeles Dodgers is winning the game at the conclusion of the 5th inning. If the game is tied at the conclusion of the 5th inning, this market will resolve to "Draw". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the 5th inning has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. To know when a postponed game will be played, please check the home team's schedule on MLB.com for the listed team and look for the game described as a makeup game. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets aggregate beliefs from traders risking real capital. This market may price the outcome differently than traditional sports betting venues, offering traders an alternative view of the matchup's first five innings. Comparing both can reveal where the crowd sees value or where consensus breaks down.
On Polymarket, traders set prices through an automated market maker that adjusts odds based on buy and sell pressure. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current implied probability reflects the collective assessment of all active traders at any given moment. As more capital flows into one outcome, the price shifts to balance supply and demand. This continuous repricing mechanism means odds can move sharply in response to news, lineup changes, or betting patterns in the hours before first pitch.
This market resolves around Jul 7, 2026, once the first five innings of the game are complete and the result is verifiable from credible public sources. The winning outcome is determined by which team holds the lead after exactly five innings have been played. If the score is tied after five innings, that outcome would also be reflected in the market's resolution. Traders should monitor official game reporting to confirm the final five-inning score.
Lineup announcements, injury reports, and weather conditions can all shift odds before game time. Starting pitcher performance, bullpen availability, and recent offensive trends may influence trader sentiment. Once the game begins, early runs, defensive plays, and momentum swings during the first five innings will drive real-time price movement. Breaking news about player availability or field conditions closer to first pitch could also trigger sharp repricing as new information reaches the market.