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Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics - First 5 Innings Winner
kalshi
polymarket

Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics - First 5 Innings Winner

Volume:
$47,623

Colorado wins first 5 innings

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 14, 2026

Closed: Jun 13, 11:34 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Colorado wins first 5 innings

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$7,446
N/A
N/A
$5,180
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Colorado Rockies

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
1¢
N/A
$5
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

A's wins first 5 innings

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$34,442
N/A
N/A
$21,735
Settled
No
polymarket

Athletics

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Tie

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$5,720
N/A
N/A
$5,146
Settled
No
polymarket

Draw

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event group covers prediction markets on the outcome of the first 5 innings in a Colorado Rockies vs. Oakland Athletics MLB game. Markets resolve based on which team is ahead (or if tied) at the end of the 5th inning, with separate markets on Polymarket for each outcome (Rockies win, Athletics win, or Draw) and a combined market on Kalshi that resolves Yes for any outcome.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi market is logically incoherent (all outcomes resolve Yes), and platforms cite conflicting game dates (June 13 vs June 14). Polymarket provides coherent mutually-exclusive outcomes; Kalshi does not.Hero tip: Do not trade on Kalshi—the market is unresolvable as written. Use Polymarket's three separate markets (Rockies, Athletics, Draw) for meaningful price discovery. Confirm actual game date/time on MLB.com before any settlement.

Critical divergence points:

  • Kalshi: Market resolves Yes if Colorado wins, Athletics wins, or tie in first 5 innings of game scheduled June 13, 2026 at 10:05 PM EDT. This is a tautology: all possible outcomes trigger Yes resolution, making the market logically broken and unsuitable for prediction.
  • Polymarket: Three separate mutually-exclusive markets: Colorado Rockies winning after 5 innings, Athletics winning after 5 innings, and Tied after 5 innings. Game scheduled June 14, 2026 at 3:05 PM ET. Includes explicit postponement and cancellation protocols (50-50 split if canceled with no makeup). Primary resolution source is official MLB statistics or credible reporting consensus within 24 hours.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

In the upcoming MLB game between the Colorado Rockies and Athletics, scheduled for June 14 at 3:05 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Colorado Rockies" if the Colorado Rockies is winning the game at the conclusion of the 5th inning. This market will resolve to "Athletics" if the Athletics is winning the game at the conclusion of the 5th inning. If the game is tied at the conclusion of the 5th inning, this market will resolve to "Draw". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the 5th inning has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. To know when a postponed game will be played, please check the home team's schedule on MLB.com for the listed team and look for the game described as a makeup game. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Kalshi

This event evaluates the winner of the first 5 innings in the Colorado vs A's professional baseball game originally scheduled for June 13, 2026 at 10:05 PM EDT. Three outcomes are possible: Colorado wins the first 5 innings, the A's wins the first 5 innings, or the teams tie after 5 innings. If the score at the end of the fifth inning is tied, the Tie outcome resolves to Yes and all team-specific outcomes resolve to No. If the game is postponed or delayed, the market remains open and closes after the rescheduled game concludes within two days of the original scheduled date.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction markets and sportsbooks price the same event through different mechanisms. Sportsbooks set odds to balance liability and extract a margin; prediction markets aggregate trader beliefs through continuous order books or automated market makers. On this market, traders are directly wagering capital on their conviction, which often produces tighter spreads and faster price discovery than traditional books. However, sportsbook odds may reflect sharper professional action and real-time injury or weather updates. Comparing the two reveals arbitrage opportunities and helps you calibrate whether prediction market pricing is efficient relative to established betting lines.

Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Platform mechanics, user bases, and liquidity pools drive natural pricing variation. Kalshi operates as a regulated exchange with specific contract rules and settlement procedures, while Polymarket uses an automated market maker model with different fee structures and trader incentives. Liquidity concentration differs between venues—one platform may attract more sharp action on this matchup than the other—creating temporary mispricings. Geographic and demographic differences in trader populations also matter; regional interest in Colorado or Oakland teams may skew odds differently across platforms. These gaps typically narrow as resolution approaches, but they create opportunities for alert traders monitoring both exchanges.

Lineup announcements, injury reports, and weather conditions are primary catalysts before first pitch. A key player sidelined or unexpected roster change can shift early-inning dynamics significantly. Weather—wind direction, temperature, humidity—affects ball carry and pitcher performance in the opening frames. Starting pitcher form, bullpen availability, and recent team performance in early innings all influence trader positioning. As game time nears, sharp action from professional bettors often moves prices materially. Real-time developments during the first few innings, such as early runs or defensive plays, will drive final adjustments right up until the fifth inning concludes.