TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 16, 11:39 PM EST
Kalshi
This group contains markets related to the US Open Cup soccer match between the Colorado Rapids and Saint Louis City SC, focusing on the goal spread and over/under totals for both the entire match and individual halves. Markets cover both teams winning by a certain margin and total goals scored.
More markets for the US Open Cup game, scheduled for September 16 at 9:30 PM ET.
This event resolves based on the goal differential by which either Colorado or Saint Louis wins the US Open Cup match scheduled for September 16, 2026, after 90 minutes of regulation time plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalties. Markets are structured around specific win margins: Colorado winning by more than 2.5 goals, Colorado winning by more than 1.5 goals, Saint Louis winning by more than 1.5 goals, and Saint Louis winning by more than 2.5 goals. Each market resolves to 'Yes' if the actual win margin meets or exceeds the specified threshold. The rules note that Kalshi is not affiliated with the governing league, and all trademarks belong to their respective owners.
Prediction market odds, like those found for this market, often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while prediction markets aggregate diverse opinions. This can lead to discrepancies, especially when public sentiment strongly diverges from expert analysis. The implied probabilities within this market may differ from those offered by sportsbooks, providing an opportunity for arbitrage or informed betting decisions. It’s important to compare both to gain a well-rounded view.
Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Prices on Polymarket and Kalshi can diverge due to several factors. Each platform attracts a different user base with varying risk tolerances and information sets, which can lead to differing opinions on the probability of outcomes. Trading volume also plays a role; higher volume on one platform can indicate stronger conviction and potentially influence prices. Furthermore, the specific market structures and fee schedules on Polymarket and Kalshi can create price discrepancies. Currently, Polymarket currently favors Colorado Rapids winning at 48%, while Kalshi leans toward Saint Louis City SC winning at 52%.