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Colorado Rapids SC vs. San Diego FC - First Team to Score
polymarket
kalshi

Who will score first: Colorado Rapids SC or San Diego FC?

Volume:
$3,597

Colorado Rapids

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 23, 2026

Closed: Jul 23, 12:01 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Colorado Rapids

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$2,830
N/A
N/A
$1,806
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Colorado Rapids SC

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$64
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

No Goal

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$359
N/A
N/A
$355
Settled
No
kalshi

San Diego FC

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$168
N/A
N/A
$132
Settled
No
polymarket

San Diego FC

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$141
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Neither

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$35
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event group covers a single MLS match between Colorado Rapids SC and San Diego FC scheduled for July 22, 2026, asking which team will score first. Markets across Polymarket and Kalshi are betting on the identity of the first goalscorer or whether neither team scores.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Polymarket limits resolution scope to 90 minutes plus stoppage time only, explicitly excluding extra time. Kalshi includes the entire match including extra time periods. This creates a material difference in outcomes if the match reaches extra time.Hero tip: Monitor whether the match is likely to go to extra time (e.g., cup competition vs league play). If trading both platforms, hedge accordingly: Polymarket bettors should price in a higher probability of Neither if the match is competitive; Kalshi bettors should account for extended play scenarios.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: First-goal resolution window is strictly 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time only. Extra time and penalty shootouts are explicitly excluded from consideration. Resolution source is official governing body statistics within 2 hours, or credible reporting consensus if unavailable.
  • Kalshi: First-goal resolution window includes the entire game: regulation time, stoppage time, and any extra time periods. No explicit exclusion of extra time. Resolution source is not specified in provided terms.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

In the upcoming match between Colorado Rapids SC and San Diego FC, scheduled for July 22, 2026 at 9:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Colorado Rapids SC" if Colorado Rapids SC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "San Diego FC" if San Diego FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.

Kalshi

If Colorado Rapids records the first goal during the entire game (regulation, stoppage and any extra time periods) of the Colorado Rapids vs San Diego FC professional MLS soccer game originally scheduled for Jul 22, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If San Diego FC records the first goal during the entire game (regulation, stoppage and any extra time periods) of the Colorado Rapids vs San Diego FC professional MLS soccer game originally scheduled for Jul 22, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If no team records the first goal during the entire game (regulation, stoppage and any extra time periods) of the Colorado Rapids vs San Diego FC professional MLS soccer game originally scheduled for Jul 22, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Frequently asked questions

The first goal scorer market aggregates trader predictions across Polymarket and Kalshi, tracking which team will score first in the Colorado Rapids SC versus San Diego FC match. This market reflects real-time consensus from thousands of participants pricing the likelihood of each outcome. Traders buy and sell shares based on team form, player availability, tactical matchups, and other factors influencing early-game momentum. The combined volume across both venues provides a comprehensive snapshot of market conviction, with prices updating continuously as new information emerges. This decentralized approach often reveals insights distinct from traditional sportsbook odds.

Prediction markets and sportsbooks price outcomes differently because they operate under distinct incentive structures. Sportsbooks set odds to balance their book and manage risk, often incorporating a margin. Prediction markets, by contrast, are driven by trader consensus—participants directly stake capital on outcomes they believe are mispriced. This can lead to sharper, more efficient pricing in prediction markets, particularly on niche or fast-moving events. However, sportsbooks may have superior access to professional sports data and injury reports. Comparing this market across venues reveals how different participant bases and fee structures influence the final odds.

Key catalysts include injury announcements to star forwards or defensive leaders, which reshape attacking potency and defensive stability. Tactical shifts—such as a switch to a more aggressive formation—can significantly alter early-game pressure. Recent team form, especially goal-scoring streaks or defensive vulnerabilities, often triggers repricing as traders update their models. Weather forecasts revealing rain or wind may favor certain playing styles. Head coach statements about lineup or strategy can spark volatility. Additionally, betting syndicate activity or large trader positions sometimes create visible volume spikes. Monitoring team social media, official press conferences, and lineup leaks in the 48 hours before kickoff is essential for staying ahead of market moves.