TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 23, 12:22 AM EST
Polymarket
This event group covers the exact final score of an MLS match between Colorado Rapids SC and San Diego FC scheduled for July 22, 2026 at 9:30 PM ET. Polymarket offers 18 discrete exact-score outcomes plus an 'Any Other Score' catch-all, while Kalshi offers four spread-based markets (Colorado/San Diego winning by >1.5 or >2.5 goals). Both resolve on the 90-minute regulation result plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalties.
In the upcoming MLS game between Colorado Rapids SC and San Diego FC, scheduled for July 22, 2026 at 9:30 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Colorado Rapids SC vs. San Diego FC match originally scheduled for July 22, 2026 at 9:30 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Resolution is determined by the final score of the Colorado vs San Diego FC MLS match scheduled for July 22, 2026, measured after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (excluding extra time or penalties). Four distinct spread outcomes are offered: Colorado winning by more than 2.5 goals, Colorado winning by more than 1.5 goals, San Diego FC winning by more than 1.5 goals, and San Diego FC winning by more than 2.5 goals. Each outcome resolves independently based on whether the specified goal differential is achieved by the designated team.
Prediction markets and traditional sportsbooks price events differently because they operate under distinct mechanisms. Sportsbooks set odds to balance their book and manage risk, often incorporating a margin. Prediction markets, by contrast, derive prices from continuous trading between participants who profit by forecasting accurately. This market's prices reflect aggregated trader beliefs rather than a bookmaker's margin, potentially offering sharper or more efficient signals on exact-score outcomes. Comparing this market's implied probabilities to sportsbook lines can reveal where consensus diverges, though both venues ultimately aim to reflect true event likelihood.
Key injury announcements, lineup changes, or roster updates for either team can shift trader sentiment significantly, especially if star players are ruled out. Recent form, head-to-head history, and weather conditions on match day all influence exact-score probabilities. Major news—such as coaching changes or unexpected suspensions—often triggers sharp repricing. Trading volume and momentum can also amplify moves as early movers attract followers. Close to kickoff, late-breaking team news and betting syndicate activity typically drive the most volatile price swings. Monitoring team social media, official announcements, and platform order flow helps traders stay ahead of market-moving developments.