TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 2, 12:01 AM EST
Kalshi
This event group tracks which team will score the first goal in the Colorado Rapids SC vs. Austin FC match scheduled for August 1, 2026. The markets cover three possible outcomes: Colorado Rapids SC scoring first, Austin FC scoring first, or neither team scoring within the specified time frame.
In the upcoming match between Colorado Rapids SC and Austin FC, scheduled for August 1, 2026 at 9:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Colorado Rapids SC" if Colorado Rapids SC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Austin FC" if Austin FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
The event determines the first team to score in the Colorado Rapids vs Austin FC professional MLS soccer match scheduled for August 1, 2026. If Colorado Rapids scores the first goal at any point during the game—including regulation time, stoppage time, or extra time—the corresponding market resolves to Yes. Similarly, if Austin FC scores the first goal under the same conditions, its market resolves to Yes. If neither team scores a goal throughout the entire match, the 'No Goal' market resolves to Yes. In the specific case of an own goal, resolution is based on the team to which the goal is officially awarded. All markets refer to the entire game duration and have not been endorsed by FIFA; any references to FIFA-related terms are purely descriptive and do not imply endorsement or affiliation with FIFA or Kalshi.
Prediction market odds on this market often differ from traditional sportsbook lines because they reflect the decentralized consensus of traders rather than set odds from a bookmaker. While sportsbooks may post a line based on their own models and risk management, prediction markets let participants bet directly on their beliefs, which can create price divergence. Traders should compare both sources to spot potential value or shifts in public perception before the match begins.
On Polymarket and Kalshi, prices can vary due to differences in user bases, liquidity, and market design. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. For example, one platform might attract more fans of a particular team, skewing its odds. Additionally, each venue has its own fee structure and trading dynamics, which influence how quickly prices adjust to new information. These factors combined often lead to noticeable gaps in implied probabilities between the two platforms.
Injuries to key attacking players, weather conditions affecting gameplay, or strategic lineup changes announced by coaches can all shift this market. Additionally, any strong performance in earlier matches by either team’s offense may sway trader sentiment. Keep an eye on pre-match news, injury reports, and tactical updates — these often cause rapid price swings as the game draws closer.