TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 26, 11:00 PM EST
Predict
In the upcoming match between Colombia and Mexico, scheduled for September 26, 2026 at 9:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Colombia" if Colombia are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Mexico" if Mexico are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming match between Colombia and Mexico, scheduled for September 26, 2026 at 9:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Colombia" if Colombia are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Mexico" if Mexico are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines based on expert analysis and incorporate a profit margin, while this market’s prices are driven by actual money being wagered. If a significant number of traders believe a particular outcome is more likely than sportsbooks suggest, the odds will shift accordingly. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information sources, biases, or simply the dynamic nature of a live market. It’s common to see prediction markets more accurately forecast probabilities, especially as the event approaches.
On Predict, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing each possible outcome. The price of each contract reflects the market's current assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy contracts for a specific team to score first, the price increases, indicating a higher perceived chance of that event. On Predict, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market dynamically adjusts to new information and trading activity, providing a real-time estimate of the likelihood of either Colombia or Mexico scoring the opening goal. This creates a fluid pricing mechanism driven by collective intelligence.
This market resolves around Sep 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on which team scores the first goal in the Colombia vs. Mexico match. In the event of a draw or other unforeseen circumstances impacting the first goalscorer, the resolution will reflect the official match result as reported by authoritative sports sources. The platform will verify the outcome against these sources to ensure accuracy and fairness for all traders participating in this market.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market. Any news regarding player injuries or suspensions for either Colombia or Mexico would likely have a significant impact. Changes in team formations or tactical approaches announced by the coaches could also shift the odds. Unexpected weather conditions on match day, or even pre-match analysis from respected football commentators, might sway trader sentiment. Public perception and betting patterns in traditional sportsbooks could also indirectly affect trading activity on Predict, leading to price adjustments in this market.