TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 3, 9:30 PM EST
Polymarket
This event group tracks the outcome of a FIFA World Cup match between Colombia and Ghana scheduled for July 3 at 9:30 PM ET, encompassing 59 markets including spread bets, goal totals, and both-teams-to-score propositions. The aggregated consensus across Polymarket and Predict shows 100.0% probability for Colombia to advance. Resolution will be determined by the official final score published on fifa.com based on the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, or by credible reporting consensus if official statistics are unavailable within 2 hours of match conclusion. Watch the final whistle on July 3 for the official result that will settle all related markets.
More markets for the FIFA World Cup game, scheduled for July 3 at 9:30 PM ET.
More markets for the FIFA World Cup game, scheduled for July 3 at 9:30 PM ET.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they serve different audiences and operate under different incentive structures. Sportsbooks set odds to balance liability and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets are driven by trader supply and demand. Prediction markets typically reflect sharper, more efficient pricing over time because traders risk real capital on accuracy rather than betting against a fixed line. However, sportsbooks may move faster on breaking news or injury reports. Comparing this market across platforms and against major sportsbooks can reveal arbitrage opportunities or consensus misalignment.
Polymarket and Predict may price this market differently due to variations in user base, liquidity depth, and fee structures. Polymarket and Predict can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Smaller or newer platforms often experience wider spreads and slower price discovery, while larger venues attract more sophisticated traders and tighter competition. Geographic and regulatory differences can also influence which traders participate on each platform, shifting the distribution of bullish or bearish sentiment. Monitoring price gaps between venues helps identify mispricings and can signal where informed traders are concentrating their positions.